Vikings 2016 Game-by-Game Win-Loss Predictions

Friday, July 8, 2016 8:42 PM UTC

Friday, Jul. 8, 2016 8:42 PM UTC

After a division winning season, expectations run high for the Vikings. Will they crack a 9.5 season win total? We run down their NFL schedule here, replete with win-loss NFL picks.

Minnesota Vikings 2015 Look Back
The Minnesota Vikings wrestled the NFC North title out of Green Bay’s grip, so firm over the last few seasons in the NFC North. It was a noteworthy achievement and comes with high expectations for 2016 as bookies tip the Vikings to greater heights. Although they are trading as the second favourites after Green Bay Packers to win the NFC North title – the former is priced at -150  while the latter is priced at +180 to win – their season hangs in the balance of a 9.5 projected season total which is leaning convincingly to the OVER at -130 NFL odds. The UNDER is matched at +100. It’s worth noting the Vikings are also priced as the +1000 NFL pick to win the NFC Conference, putting them in the company of proven champions Carolina Panthers, Seattle Seahawks (both at +400), Green Bay Packers (+500) and Arizona Cardinals (+600).

Where the Vikings are short-changed somewhat is on the NFL schedule. While their counterparts in the NFC North have received some of the easiest NFL schedules (based on 2015 results), the Vikings emerge with the 18th hardest schedule in the league, significantly tougher than the schedules of the Packers (easiest in the league) and the tandem of Bears and Lions (second and third easiest, respectively).

To be fair, the Vikings had one of the harder NFL schedules last term (tenth toughest) yet still negotiated a successful run to top their section with an 11-5 SU record, all while Teddy Bridgewater was in his second year. Talk of the strength of schedule, therefore, could be a moot point.

In any event, we break down the Vikings’ NFL schedule, running down each and every game and serve up our choice NFL picks. We sum up this very early NFL betting preview with our recommended NFL pick for the season win totals.


Minnesota Vikings 2016 NFL schedule Game-by-Game Predictions at a Glance

Week 1 vs.  Tennessee (away), Sunday, September 11
Teddy Bridgewater and the Vikings open their season in Tennessee, a date with Marcus Mariota and the revamping Titans is a favourable opening matchup all things being considered. Sure, there may be improvements to the Titans in 2016, who finished 3-13 SU, but whether those are enough to throw down the gauntlet against a divisional champion in week 1 of the NFL betting season remains to be seen. It would be an overly optimistic NFL pick, though.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 1-0


Week 2 vs. Green Bay, Sunday, September 18
Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are going to have payback on their mind after losing week 17 to the Vikings at Lambeau 20-13. They did win over the Vikings in week 11, defeating them 30-13 on the road. They’ll want to make it two in a row in Minnesota, not to mention underline their NFL odds as the favourites in the NFC North. It’s early in the season, the first divisional clash for the Vikings and the unveiling of their new stadium – the U.S. Bank Stadium – on primetime TV. They’ll be feeling the pressure.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 1-1


Week 3 vs. Carolina (away), Sunday, September 25
Immediately after a charged clash with the Packers on Sunday Night Football, the Vikings are set to face the NFC Champions Carolina Panthers. The Panthers went 15-1 SU last season en route to a runner-up finish to the Denver Broncos in the Super Bowl. Cam Newton and the Panthers are a tough ask for the Vikings on the road.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 1-2


Week 4 vs. NY Giants, Monday, October 3
A second consecutive primetime clash looms on the horizon for the Minnesota Vikings when they return to the U.S. Bank Stadium. The Vikings eviscerated the G-men 48-17 last season on their old stomping grounds, but that was a week 16 clash and the Giants were practically done and done for the season. This time, they meet in week 4 with all to play for yet. It would be grossly misleading to assume the same thing happens here. This one should be closer than their last meeting, but, admittedly, the Vikings should win. Their defence can really get at Eli Manning and rattle his cage.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 2-2


Week 5 vs. Houston, Sunday, October 9
Houston Texans are the third visitors to break in the brand new U.S Bank Stadium in 2016, but, they’re not in the primetime slot. Instead, they’ll take on the Vikings in the unassuming early slot of the schedule, following a short week for the Vikings. Both sides have formidable defences that are feared across the NFL, prompting expectations for a low-scoring, grinding affair. We’re on the fence with this one as it's conceivable either side would win the battle of the trenches. Vikings should win but the Texans could win.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-3


Week 6 vs. BYE


Week 7 vs. Philadelphia (away), Sunday, October 23
The Vikings come off a week 6 Bye and head to Philly where the Eagles await. What to make of the Eagles on 2016 is anybody’s guess, but, by and large, the prognosis isn’t entirely favourable with the coaching change, quarterback carousel and new system altogether. Winning on the road is difficult but if we’re to take a page from the NFL betting outlook for the Eagles this does come across as a winnable road game for the Vikings. The Vikings defence can have a field day with Sam Bradford.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 3-3


Week 8 vs. Chicago (away), Monday, October 31
The Vikings swept the Bears last season winning 23-20 in the windy city before crushing the Bears 38-17 at home. The win at Soldier Field marked their first win since 2007 at Soldier Field, ushering in a new era for the Vikings in the NFC North. Teddy Bridgewater and Company are sure to fancy their chances to keep the momentum going in the windy city as they play their third primetime game of the season.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 4-3


Week 9 vs. Detroit, Sunday, November 6
The Vikings could get on a roll here with another win over the Detroit Lions. Home advantage tips the scale towards the hosts, not to mention the absence of Megatron will leave Matthew Stafford sorely shortchanged on offence.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 5-3


Week 10 vs. Washington (away), Sunday, November 13
Minnesota Vikings upset the NFC East champions in the nation’s capital. Do you like that? Kirk Cousins probably won’t. No disrespect to the quarterback, who did well to steal the starting job from RGIII – and send the former No.1 QB packing to the ignominious obscurity of the Cleveland Browns’ locker room – but he’ll have his hands full with a Vikings defence that could give him headaches.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 6-3


Week 11 vs. Arizona, Sunday, November 20
Arizona Cardinals have a turn at the U.S Bank Stadium in week 11 NFL betting and if Bruce Aryan’s side is anywhere nearly as good as it was last season this could be a tough day for home fans. Last term, the Vikings played the Cardinals close on the road, only to lose 23-20 in Arizona. Indeed, they left many NFL bettors impressed in the way they bounced back from a 38-7 loss to the Seahawks at CenturyLink the week prior. This time, they do have home advantage, which definitely gives them a realistic shot. Yet, we expect a narrow loss against a Cardinals side that should be mired in a battle with Seattle Seahawks down the stretch where wins come at a huge premium.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 6-4


Week 12 vs. Detroit (away), Thursday, November 24
A trip to Ford Field for Thanksgiving looms on the NFL betting schedule for the Vikings, a first Thanksgiving Day appearance since 2000. Long overdue, don’t you think? It’s a short week for the Vikings after a tough date with the Cardinals. Could spell trouble or a slip up in a matchup that many NFL bettors, arguably, see the Vikings winning based on the contrasting fortunes of these two teams in 2015.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 6-5


Week 13 vs. Dallas, Thursday, December 1
Assuming Tony Romo is still healthy by week 13, the Dallas Cowboys are sure to give the Vikings a run for their money. However, this is a game the Vikings will want to get up for considering it’s a primetime bash at the U.S Bank Stadium.  By all accounts, this one could go either way but, on the strength of their 2015 season and home advantage, we’re tipping it to the Vikings on our NFL picks.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 7-5


Week 14 vs. Jacksonville (away), Sunday, December 11
Jacksonville Jaguars are expected to take a step forward in the 2016 or it’s lights-out for the coaching staff, you’d think. It’s a road game so the Vikings will be at a slight disadvantage. Plus Blake Bortles and the Jaguars have swelled in strength during the offseason so they might not be a straightforward task. Nevertheless, the Vikings do have a few extra days to prepare for this clash – in fact with back-to-back Thursday games in the two previous weeks it’s almost as if they have a second bye late in the season. Those additional days between each of those weeks can be hugely beneficial.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 8-5

Week 15 vs. Indianapolis, Sunday, December 18
The Vikings face a second straight AFC South opponent in as many weeks down the stretch. After a trip to Jacksonville, they return to the U.S Bank Stadium to welcome the hot hand of Andrew Luck and the Colts. Beating Andrew Luck is not mean feat but the Vikings could pull off the win at home if they can keep him in check.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 9-5


Week 16 vs. Green Bay (away), Saturday, December 24
Losing to the Vikings late in the season didn’t go down well with Aaron Rodgers and the Packers as they ceded the NFC North title to their rivals. You can bet Aaron Rodgers will want to serve up the revenge cold at Lambeau in week 16, particularly if the pair finds themselves once again locked in an NFC North title battle. Last year’s win at Lambeau was certainly impressive, but it would take a bold NFL bettor to back Teddy Bridgewater and the Vikings to do it two seasons in a row,

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 9-6


Week 17 vs. Chicago, Sunday, January 1
The Vikings look to close the season on a positive note at home to Chicago Bears. No side takes kindly to being swept in a series so there’s sure to be something at stake in this matchup even if one or the other is out of the playoff picture at this point in time. Smart money is on the Bears being out, but that shouldn’t be taken for granted. Nor is it a reason to dismiss the Bears out-of-hand. In fact, this could be a trap game. A seemingly straightforward matchup that turns into a headscratcher. The Vikings haven’t lost to the Bears at home since 2011. Yet, they hadn’t won at Soldier Field since 2007 until they did so last year. The tables could turn on the Vikings and their positive run of form at home to the Bears could end. What’s a final week of NFL betting without an upset NFL pick or two?

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 9-7


NFL Projected Season Win Totals: Only 9 wins!!! Are you mad!! Sure that’ll be the gist of the many rants in the comments below. Look, 9 wins is a good season and it might even be enough to take them into the playoffs. Both Washington and Houston squeaked into the playoffs last term with a 9-7 record, not to mention the NY Giants, who a few years ago with a 9-7 record not only got into the playoffs but went all the way to winning the Super Bowl.

Keep in mind, this is just an early game-by-game prediction not a play-by-play transmitted from a crystal ball that sees clearly into the future. Of course, the Vikings can better this conservative estimate above given how well they played last season. That said, we maintain that it’s one thing to punch above your weight class and defy the odds (as the Vikings did in 2015) and another matter entirely to defend what was accomplished in the previous season. It’s a different mentality – being on the hunt and then being the one chased by the rest. You can bet the NFC North, as well the rest of the field in the NFL, will be taking this Vikings side seriously, which only means they’ll come better prepared for these games and throw the kitchen sink if they have to at Teddy Bridgewater and company.

In any event, what it all boils down to is the fact that the 9.5 projected season win total seems a bit too high. Overcooked if you will by the odds makers in what looks like a deliberate move to lure hordes of NFL bettors, totally sold on the Vikings’ credentials, to back the OVER at the decent price of -120 to -130 NFL odds. We’re of the opinion that the savvy NFL pick is, in fact, the UNDER 9.5, which also so happens to be priced at a tempting +100 NFL odds.

NFL Picks: UNDER 9.5 at +100

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