Vegas Odds For First Super Bowl TD: Capper Likes Pats' Bennett

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, January 25, 2017 7:37 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jan. 25, 2017 7:37 PM UTC

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook has the first handful of prop bets available for Super Bowl LI in Houston. Let's take a look on the odds for the first touchdown scorer between the Patriots and Falcons on Feb. 5.

Super Bowl LI First Touchdown Scorer Prop

The world’s largest sportsbook, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, has put out a Super Bowl LI proposition bet on who will be the first touchdown scorer when the NFC champion Atlanta Falcons (+142 Moneyline, 5Dimes) meet the AFC champion New England Patriots (-152 Moneyline, 5Dimes) at NRG Stadium in Houston on Feb. 5 (FOX, 6:30 p.m. EST).

The odds in this market -- which has $2,000 limits and action even if the player is not actually playing in the big game -- currently range from 8/1 to 500/1 (No Touchdown Scored) with Patriots’ Julian Edelman and Chris Hogan and Falcons’ Julio Jones all at 8/1 as is the “Field” bet.

Here are the opening numbers with the SuperBook scheduled to release its full list of props on its mobile phone app on Thursday at 7 p.m. EST with the full Super Bowl LI props sheet packets available at the casino Friday.

Julian Edelman, Patriots 8/1

Chris Hogan, Patriots 8/1

Julio Jones, Falcons 8/1

Field (All Others) 8/1

LeGarrette Blount, Patriots 10/1

Dion Lewis, Patriots 10/1

Martellus Bennett, Patriots 12/1

Tevin Coleman, Falcons 12/1

Devonta Freeman, Falcons 12/1

Malcolm Mitchell, Patriots 12/1

Mohamed Sanu, Falcons 12/1

Taylor Gabriel, Falcons 15/1

James White, Patriots 15/1

Tom Brady, Patriots 20/1

Austin Hooper, Falcons 20/1

Matt Ryan, Falcons 20/1

Levine Toilolo, Falcons 20/1

Danny Amendola, Patriots 25/1

Aldrick Robinson, Falcons 30/1

No Touchdown Scored 500/1

Analysis, Pick

In the last 10 Super Bowls, five of the first TDs scored first were pass receptions and with Tom Brady (-120 Super Bowl MVP, Bet365) and Matt Ryan (+175 Super Bowl MVP, William Hill), leaning toward a wide receiver or tight end seems logical. That said, Patriots running back LeGarrette Blount (10/1 to Score First TD) is a weapon from 4 yards and closer from the goal line. The Pats' Lewis (10/1 to Score First TD) -- New England is 16-0 SU when he plays -- and the Falcons’ Devonta Freeman (12/1 to Score First TD) and Tevin Coleman (12/1 to Score First TD) could provide great value and can score by land or by air.

But logic says someone like NFL odds-on favorites Edelman, Hogan, Jones or Patriots tight end Martellus Bennett (10/1 to Score First TD) gets that glory with future Hall of Famer Jones likely to be targeted the most.

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