Vegas' Expectations for NFC East: NFL Prop Picks & Futures Odds

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, July 29, 2015 6:13 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 29, 2015 6:13 PM UTC

Join us as we analyze the NFL Futures Book Odds from some popular markets for the NFC East. We share free picks for this interesting and ever-changing division.

With Wiseguys and the General Public betting into all NFL Futures Markets for a couple of months now, finding value at this mid-point of the Summer is hard and takes some willingness on teams like the Philadelphia Eagles potentially having a surprisingly good season, although the NFL odds on Chip Kelly’s team would only seem to reward bettors in a big way should the Eagles somehow win the NFC (12/1) and make it to the Super Bowl. And with defending conference champs Seattle, Green Bay, Carolina and Dallas more likely to get to that point, sometimes not betting in certain Futures markets or individual games ends up being a win in itself. And the NFC East may provide that extremely grey reality in 2015.

Browse the NFL Futures Odds Market with SBR's Betting Guide

The NFC East will likely again be a two-team race in 2015 between the Dallas Cowboys (12-4 in 2014, NFC East winners) and the Philadelphia Eagles (10-6) and almost all Oddsmakers and NFL pundits agree. This is a pretty Black and White division, with two fairly decent teams maybe in the Top 5 or 6 in the NFC and the Top 10 in the NFL and a below average (New York Giants, 6-10) and a really below average team (Washington Redskins, 4-10), which is really Lucky the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-14) also live in the NFC. And as starting QBs go, so usually goes the success of an NFL team this century, and with Tony Romo (#1 Total QBR), Dallas has a guy that can help them win this division year-in and year-out and with the improved OL and Defense and WR Dez Bryant, the Cowboys have to be seen as the team to be beat again in the NFC East, but there is little value in betting them right now in late July with +150 (bet365) the highest number around. Why? The Eagles—with a QB competition—are a mystery, and could be great and surprise or mediocre and finish 8-8 or 9-7. The first big game in the NFC East comes in Week 2 (September 20) at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia when the Cowboys visit the Eagles (Eagles -2½, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, NFL Games of the Year) as Philadelphia will really need to protect its Home turf and may be able to do so with new toy and former Cowboys RB DeMarco Murray now with the Eagles. But Dallas is 3-0 ATS in its L3 trips to the City of Brotherly Love and Happy Meter Maids and the Cowboys won in Philly last season, 38-27 as 3-point underdogs. So, the psychological and QB advantages may be with the visitors although the Oddsmakers have the hosts favored. The return leg and what then may be the biggest game in the conference comes in Week 9 in Dallas at AT&T Stadium (Cowboys -3, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, NFL Games of the Year) but again, much of the Eagles success will depend on who out of Sam Bradford (Trade, St. Louis Rams), Mark Sanchez and maybe even Matt Barkley gets and keeps the starting QB job.

So is it wise to count out the New York Giants (380 PF-400 PA, -20) and Washington Redskins (301-438 PA, -137) so early? Yes. Both have decent QBs to try to lead them in Eli Manning and Robert Griffin III, but one often shows signs of being too old while the other shows signs of still being too young and is definitely fragile and has had to change his game since his younger days in the NFL. And the skill position players, supporting casts, Defenses and expectations in New York NFC and Washington are limited. Having Odell Beckham Jr. is fine for Fantasy Players and TV Executives who need wonderful catch highlights, but Beckham alone can’t lead the G-Men to a great season and when a key player is having a finger amputated from a Fourth of July fireworks accident, well, then you know it’s going to be a long season. And the enthusiasm of Giants and Redskins loyal fan bases have both been beat down through the years and if you were to ask a loyal (and honest) fan of either team if his/her team will finish with a winning record, any words that came out of their mouths would surely be preceded by a snicker or chortle. Meaning, hell no. Not this season. Not even close.

The NFC East could again, and probably will finish alphabetically, although the Eagles (+125, 5Dimes) may surprise, but at that price, finding an individual NFL Game of the Year or laying off seems like the best way to go here. The value, if there was that much to begin with, has been sucked dry like nectar in a sweet flower by hummingbirds.


Odds to Win NFC East Division—SuperBook vs (Highest Offshore, Online or European)
Dallas Cowboys 11/10 (3/2, bet365)

Philadelphia Eagles 7/5 (7/4, bwin, Stan James)

New York Giants 9/2 (+415, 5Dimes)

Washington Redskins 15/1 (15/1, 5Dimes)


NFC East Teams Odds to Win NFC Championship
Dallas Cowboys 7/1 (9/1, bet365, William Hill)

Philadelphia Eagles 12/1 (14/1, Stan James, Betfred)

New York Giants 15/1 (20/1, Ladbrokes)

Washington Redskins 50/1 (66/1, Coral)


NFC East Teams Odds to Win Super Bowl
Dallas Cowboys 12/1 (20/1, bet365, William Hill)

Philadelphia Eagles 25/1 (25/1, Betfred)

New York Giants 30/1 (40/1, Ladbrokes, William Hill)

Washington Redskins 100/1 (100/1, Skybet, William Hill)


NFC East Teams Regular Season Team Win Totals—(Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook)
Dallas Cowboys 9½ Over -145, Under +125

Philadelphia Eagles 9½ Over +130, Under -150

New York Giants 8 Over -125, Under +105

Washington Redskins 6 Over -130, Under +110


NFC East Teams Regional Super Bowl 50 Matchup Odds—(5Dimes)
Dallas Cowboys vs. Houston Texans: 225/1

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: 149/1

New York Giants vs. New York Jets: 630/1

Washington Redskins vs. Baltimore Ravens: 840/1


Dual Forecast (1-2) Odds—(Totesport, Betfred)
Dallas Cowboys—Philadelphia Eagles: Even

Dallas Cowboys—New York Giants: 14/5

Philadelphia Eagles—New York Giants: 7/2

Dallas Cowboys—Washington Redskins: 12/1

Philadelphia Eagles—Washington Redskins: 14/1

New York Giants—Washington Redskins: 28/1


Can We Possibly Squeeze Blood Out of a Turnip?
Of course not. But we may be able to squeeze a Futures Book winner out here somewhere in the milktoast NFC East (To Be Winning Division in NFC +340, 5Dimes). Honestly, it seems like the division’s two best teams, the Cowboys and the Eagles have even less of a chance of getting to and winning a Super Bowl than they did last season with the Cowboys losing workhorse RB Murray and potentially their dynamic Rushing game with his departure and the Eagles still a work in progress under Mad Scientist/Head Coach Chip Kelly and still very confused at QB. (Why did they ship Nick Foles to St. Louis for an injury-prone Bradford?) Can you see Sam Bradford or Mark Sanchez leading this team, or any team for that matter, to an NFC Championship Game? Especially with Seattle’s Russell Wilson in his prime, Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers maybe the best QB in the game today now with Peyton Manning aging and Romo and the Cowpoke still in the way. And the Eagles made too many stupid mistakes last season, and Expectations and Anger aren’t at high enough levels for a big surprise out of this conference.

The NFC East isn’t great for betting here, but if you have to get down on something, maybe betting the New York Giants Regular Season Team Win Total Under 8 (+120, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) as the G-Men (2-4 vs NFC East in 2014, 4-8 vs NFC) should finish 6-10 or 7-9 again in the Regular Season. And taking New York in Week 3 at Home at the MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford against the Redskins (Giants -5½, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) is advised as the Skins may absolutely stink again and the Giants are 4-0 ATS L4 against Washington at Home, winning 24-13 as 7-point favorites in this spot on the schedule last year. This year’s game will take place on Thursday, September 24 and will be televised in primetime on CBS and the NFL Network (8:25 p.m. ET/5:25 p.m. PT). And backing the visiting Eagles +3 (Week 9, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook NFL Games of the Year) in Dallas now with the 3 points may be wise as Philadelphia won and rolled in Arlington last season, 33-10 as 3-point underdogs and University of Oklahoma and Bishop Gorman High School product Murray may want to show Cowboys owner Jerry Jones that he made a big mistake let him go after such a prolific season rushing the football—something sorely lacking in Big D of late.

NFC East Futures Book Picks: New York Giants Regular Season Team Win Total Under 8 +110 (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook); Week 3—New York Giants -5½ over Washington Redskins; Week 9—Philadelphia Eagles +3 over Dallas Cowboys (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, NFL Games of the Year).

comment here