Value Plays for Week 8 NFL Picks

Joe Catalano

Sunday, October 26, 2014 1:19 PM GMT

We are almost midway through the NFL Season and have a good barometer for where respective NFL teams are at. It's time for some NFL Value Plays and profiting off of the sportsbooks. Let's do it!

Buffalo Bills (4-3) vs. New York Jets (1-6)
Most of the public are writing the Jets off, but lets remember, they've faced some really elite teams lately. Not only have they faced the elite teams, but the Jets defense played Denver really well and New York should've beaten the New England Patriots last week. Now, the Jets are facing a Buffalo Bills team who is also playing well with a stud like Sammy Watkins and Kyle Orton has surprisingly played well. That said, the Bills will be without their running back C.J. Spiller who is out indefinitely. Look for Geno Smith, who has gained some confidence from the New England game, to play well at home in a must win situation for New York.

NFL Pick: New York Jets -3 at 5Dimes

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Indianapolis Colts (5-2) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3)
No Respect
The Steelers are coming off of a strong win over the Houston Texans and J.J. Watts and contain the powerful trio of Ben Roethlisberger, LeVeon Bell, and Antonio Brown. Big Ben is a 2 time Super Bowl champion and Bell and Brown are growing leaps and bounds at their respective positions and are having a very productive season.

For the Colts, Andrew Luck is the future face of the NFL as a quarterback and has already proven that he's a winner. Luck will be without one of his best receivers in veteran Reggie Wayne. That said, the Colts are still one of the best young teams in the NFL with Ahmad Bradshaw really finding a home Indianapolis.

The only thing that I don't like about this game is the spread. There is no way that the Steelers should be a 3.5 point betting underdog at Heinz Field. Take Pittsburgh; enough said.

NFL Pick: Pittsburgh +3.5

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Green Bay Packers (5-2) vs. New Orleans Saints (2-4)
Too Much Respect
In this game, you have a team that's receiving too much respect in the New Orleans Saints. The Saints are very close to being in a must win situation and they have to face the hottest quarterback in the NFL in Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers has been nearly perfect this season with 18 touchdowns and 1 interception. Early in the season, people were calling for Rodgers' head and now he's the best QB in the NFL. Rodgers has repeatedly been able to find wide receiver Jordy Nelson and nobody has been able to stop him.

Where New Orleans is concerned, Drew Brees has been unable to find his best target, Jimmy Graham, and Graham had no receptions last week and an injury to go along with it.

New Orleans desperately needs a healthy Jimmy Graham and Mark Ingram in the offense. Ingram was also injured and Khiry Robinson had been filling in for him and doing a respectable job. Nevertheless, that's still no excuse for the 4 losses. New Orleans is a 2.5 point NFL odds favorite in this game and I don't know what they've done to warrant that other than home field advantage.

NFL Pick: Green Bay +2.5 for your NFL picks.

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Other Leans
Oakland Raiders vs. Cleveland Browns Under 43.5
Fans will be calling for Johnny Manziel soon after Brian Hoyer completed just 16 of 41 passes in a loss to Jacksonville last week. The Raiders are an awful football team; this game is an easy under

New England vs. Chicago Under 52
The Pats are without Steven Ridley and a legitimate running game and even though Alshon Jeffery and Brandon Marshall are studs, Jay Cutler is a very inconsistent quarterback as we saw last week as the Miami Dolphins blew Chicago away.