Value Plays for Week 7 NFL Picks

Joe Catalano

Sunday, October 19, 2014 2:23 PM GMT

It's NFL Week 7 already and we don't have any undefeated teams remainings. The league is well-balanced and we should see a lot of competitive matchups today. Stand by as I give you some of the better betting picks to make when considering the odds.

New York Giants (3-3) vs. Dallas Cowboys (5-1)
Let's see how any times that the television camera flashes to Jerry Jones as his Cowboys are coming off of a win over the Super Bowl Champion Seattle Seahawks in Seattle. The Cowboys usually play very competitive games against the G-Men, but the Giants are coming off of an awful loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, 27-0.

In this game, the Giants lost their best receiver Victor Cruz to a season ending injury. Expect Reuben Randle to get lots of targets from QB Eli Manning, but Dallas will be expecting it. The Giants should be competitive in this game. They won 3 straight games previous to the Philly loss.

 

NFL MVP?
Where Dallas is concerned, you're going to see a lot of DeMarco Murray. Murray has ran for over 100 yards in every game this season and leads the NFL in rushing. Dallas has went from a 28/1 odds team to a 12/1 odds team to win the Super Bowl. No more 8-8 seasons for the Cowboys. The NFL odds are super low and I don't know why. Take Dallas.

NFL Pick: Dallas -4.5

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San Francisco 49'ers (4-2) vs. Denver Broncos (4-1)
The 49'ers are on national television in a prime time game again. It appears that the television networks are seeing how many times that they can squeeze the Niners on national television. The reason why is because they're a very outspoken team with flash that can play well.

After a nationally televised win over the St. Louis Rams, the Niners will have much more of a challenge when they play Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos in Denver.

The Niners run defense will definitely give the Broncos and Ronnie Hillman problems, but the Broncos possess possibly the best QB in NFL history in Peyton Manning. Not only that, Manning has been targeting Demaryius Thomas and Julius Thomas often with success. As Julius Thomas said after a TD against the New York Jets; "It's too easy". I don't think it will be as easy against the Niners.

Colin Kaepernick is coming off of his best passing performance of the season and is a double threat that can run the football. This should be a very close game and odds makers have declared the Broncos as a 6.5 point betting favorite. San Francisco has too many weapons such as Boldin and Crabtree. If Colin Kaepernick is on top of his game, the 49'ers will be able to cover the spread. Kept that in mind when placing your NFL pick.

NFL Pick: San Francisco +6.5

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Miami Dolphins (2-3) vs. Chicago Bears (3-3)
The Dolphins have found out that they'll be without Knowshon Marino for the season while the Bears top 4 offensive players in Jay Cutler, Alshon Jeffery, Brandon Marshall and Matt Forte have never looked so good.

Forte might not be as good a runner as DeMarco Murray, but there's not a better back in the NFL that can pass and catch as Matt Forte. On the season, he has 399 yards and 2 TD rushing and 46 receptions for 376 yards and 1 TD. Forte is a game changer and when he plays well, the Bears look like a Super Bowl Contender. At just a field goal favorite at Solider Field, the Bears are a steal.

NFL Pick: Chicago -3

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Additional Lean

Seattle Seahawks -7 Over St. Louis Rams
After showing that they were human in a loss to Dallas at home, look for Seattle to put a beating on Austin Davis and the Rams. Russell Wilson will be the difference in this game as Marshawn Lynch plays better at home and the Rams are also coming off of a demoralizing loss against San Francisco.

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