Value Plays for Week 13 NFL Picks

Joe Catalano

Sunday, November 30, 2014 3:18 PM GMT

Sunday, Nov. 30, 2014 3:18 PM GMT

It's week 13 of the 2014-2015 Season and if you're 4-7, you're leading the NFC West Division and 2-9 is still in the mix where Tampa Bay is concerned. Let's look at some value plays that will benefit your bankroll.

Arizona Cardinals (9-2) vs Atlanta Falcons (4-7)
The Arizona Cardinals have to be sick to their stomachs. They have dominated the NFL with the best record this season and Carson Palmer goes down with an injury and their season is starting to unravel. So much, that they are a mere 2 point favorite to a 4-7 Atlanta Falcons club and I bet most people think that the Falcons will win this game with an injured Larry Fitzgerald for the Cards.

The Falcons have the unstoppable weapons at wide receiver of Julio Jones and Roddy White, I look for them to have a big game along with Matty Ice as backup quarterback Drew Stanton flops.

NFL Pick: Atlanta Falcons +2

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Miami Dolphins (6-5) vs New York Jets (2-9)
These two teams have always been attached at the hip, but not this season as Ryan Tannehill has led the Fins to respectability and possibly a playoff spot while Rex Ryan and John Idzik have led the Jets to the outhouse.

The Jets will be starting Geno Smith again after his amazing 3 interception performance in half of the 1st quarter of the Buffalo Bills game. The only thing that I question is the 7 point spread at MetLife Stadium. The Jets have ruined the Dolphins season before and they have another perfect opportunity to do so. Look for the upset as New York covers the NFL odds point spread, at home, and as an underdog.

NFL Pick: New York Jets +7 at 5Dimes

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Washington Redskins (3-8) vs Indianapolis Colts (7-4)
Colts vs. Colt
Washington head coach, Jay Gruden, has had enough of RG III and has went to backup quarterback Colt McCoy. From what I can remember, McCoy did a solid job when he filled in for Griffin before. The problem for Washington here is that they'll be facing Andrew Luck and the high powered offense of the Indianapolis Colts in the Colts building. Look for McCoy to scramble and try to make things happen while incorporating DeSean Jackson and Alfred Morris into the offense, but in the end, the Colts are just too strong a football team and this is a very important game to Indy where the playoffs are concerned.

NFL Pick: Indianapolis Colts -8 (A very low point spread)

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Tennessee Titans (2-9) vs Houston Texans (5-6)
Out of all of the quarterbacks that came out of college recently, I for one, didn't think that Zack Mettenberger would stick, but he's done a fine job with the Titans. The Titans are actually a lot better than their record indicates. They have a solid young runner in Bishop Sankey and a tight end in Delane Walker who is coming off of a big week.

The problem for the Titans is that the Texans have a top-notch defense led by J.J. Watt and they can't afford to lose a game to Tennessee because they're still in the playoff picture. This is a must win situation for the Texans who have more than adequate offensive weapons such as Arian Foster, DeAndre Hopkins, and Andre Johnson at their disposal. For your NFL picks today, look for Tennessee to stay in the game as the Texans get the win.

NFL Pick: Tennessee Titans +7

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Leans
New England Patriots +3 -125 Over the Green Bay Packers
It's imperative that you find the Pats at a sportsbook that has them at +3 odds or buy the half point as this game will go down to the wire. Green Bay has the edge due to home field advantage, but the Patriots are the better team regardless if they start LaGaruette Blount or Jonas Gray in the backfield. The experience of Tom Brady and head coach Bill Belichick gives the Patriots the slight edge.

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