Using Power Rankings to Perfect Your Week 8 NFL Picks

Doug Upstone

Friday, October 24, 2014 6:57 PM GMT

Friday, Oct. 24, 2014 6:57 PM GMT

This NFL handicapper has been experimenting against the betting odds with a new tool to assist you with NFL picks. He has devised his own power rankings which are score-differential based.

The simple explanation is we have developed a formula that that takes our number against the eventual outcome and adjust the power rankings accordingly from week to week, in similar fashion to what many of the NFL football handicappers do that appear on videos or write articles for us do on their own.

Most sportsbooks utilize something on the same idea; however, their methodology tends to be more complex against the NFL odds.

Our mission was more in line to help our readers and followers with an uncomplicated betting tool that could improve NFL picks by increasing your understanding of all the teams and have a little fun in agreeing or disagreeing with these NFL power rankings.

We hope you enjoy and can have some fun in reviewing these numbers. 

Power Ratings     

Start

Current

 

Power Ratings

Start

Current

NFC East

     

AFC East

   

Dallas

93

101

 

Buffalo

91

93

NY Giants

94

94

 

Miami

93

95

Philadelphia

97

101

 

New England

97

98

Washington

92

89

 

NY Jets

92

90

             

NFC North

     

AFC North

   

Chicago

95

92

 

Baltimore

97

105

Detroit

94

97

 

Cincinnati

96

96

Green Bay

97

102

 

Cleveland

91

93

Minnesota

91

89

 

Pittsburgh

95

92

             

NFC South

     

AFC South

   

Atlanta

94

89

 

Houston

92

91

Carolina

94

90

 

Indianapolis

95

104

New Orleans

99

94

 

Jacksonville

90

83

Tampa Bay

91

86

 

Tennessee

92

87

             

NFC West

     

AFC West

   

Arizona

95

95

 

Denver

99

104

San Francisco

98

97

 

Kansas City

95

99

Seattle

100

198

 

Oakland

92

87

St. Louis

93

90

 

San Diego

96

99


Thursday - Denver - 8 over San Diego
Our number was basically the same as the sportsbooks but with all the Chargers injuries and them on a short week, Denver is generating a great deal of support with a rising number.

                             

Detroit -8 over Atlanta
We have the Lions as much bigger favorites than the actual line and see the value of Detroit’s outstanding defense against an Atlanta squad that struggles outdoors and will be on an even slower field in London.

 

Minnesota - 1 over Tampa Bay
The justification making the Vikings a favorite is they have not been blown out like the Buccaneers have which plays into how we do these Power Rankings.

 

New England – 10 over Chicago
Even we agree this does seem a bit high in favoring the Patriots. Chicago is capable of more with their offensive talent and New England defense is riddled with injuries. Why we think this could make sense with sports picks is Jay Cutler and the Bears turnovers. Chicago is 0-4 SU ad ATS when they commit two or more miscues.

 

Kansas City -11 over St. Louis    
Chiefs are rounding into form they have done more than enough to climb the ladder since their Week 1 debacle. The Rams beat Seattle because of special teams at home, probably won’t be so fortunate on the road.       

                                                           

Seattle -5 over Carolina
The number we came up with matches what the oddsmakers now have listed for this NFC contest. Which team forgets about last week first covers.  

 

N.Y. Jets Pick vs. Buffalo
The sportsbooks have the Jets in a traditional -3 spot at home, but we believe Buffalo has the better defense, slightly better offense (even with injuries) and more stable coaching approach.

 

Miami – 10 over Jacksonville
Pretty hefty number we have, but as often as the Jaguars were destroyed before winning last week, it can be justified.                                

                          

Houston -1 over Tennessee
Our opening spread exactly matched what the oddsmakers released. Since, those making NFL picks have taken Houston to -3 and we wonder why.

 

Baltimore -7 over Cincinnati
The Bengals actually opened at -3 but have since been moved to underdog which in part agrees with our premise. Not saying Baltimore should be this big a road favorite, but the final score could well reflect our choice.

 

Philadelphia -2 over Arizona
We like everyone else is impressed with the Cardinals, nonetheless, the Philadelphia has more overall talent and the coaching edge Arizona has enjoyed is negated here.

 

Indianapolis – 8 over Pittsburgh
The spread differential is more reflective of the current play of the two teams than comparing it to an actual point spread designed to split the action.

 

Cleveland -9 over Oakland
Terrible loss by Cleveland is what has kept the Browns to touchdown home favorites. Don’t be surprised if the Browns are -8 or higher come Sunday.

 

SNF Picks – Green Bay – 4 over New Orleans
Based on conventional oddsmaking, New Orleans should be favored and they have an outstanding home record of late. But take into consideration how each team is playing today, the Packers are the better team.  

 

MNF Picks - Dallas – 15 over Washington
Yes this number is bloated, but if both teams play like they have all season, don’t you think the Cowboys win by two touchdowns? We do to.

comment here