Updated MVP Odds & Prediction for Making NFL Future Picks

Matthew Jordan

Friday, October 30, 2015 2:10 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 30, 2015 2:10 PM UTC

Some NFL teams will play their 8th game this week, meaning their regular season will be halfway over. So it's a good time to look at updated NFL MVP odds at Bovada.

Patriots QB Tom Brady (Even-Money Favorite On NFL Odds)
I wasn't a fan of Brady winning his third NFL MVP Award back in August. That's because I listened to all these NFL and legal experts who believed that the league and commissioner Roger Goodell had good standing to win the federal lawsuit and keep Brady's four-game suspension in place for his role in "Deflategate." Did I think Brady might get it reduced to three or two games? I did. But quarterbacks who miss multiple games don't win MVP Awards. But of course Brady won that lawsuit on the eve of  the  2015 season -- the NFL is appealing but that won't affect Brady until possibly the 2016 season -- and he has played with a clear "Deflategate" chip on his shoulder. The Patriots have the league's top offense heading into Thursday's night's game vs. Miami and they are the +275 Super Bowl favorites at BetOnline. New England is one of an NFL-record five 6-0 teams along with Green Bay, Carolina, Denver and Cincinnati. Brady is tied for the NFL lead with 16 touchdown passes, leads the league with only one interception, is No. 2 in yards per game (behind Philip Rivers) at 342.0 and No. 3 in rating (113.2). And some consider Brady a martyr in a way for taking on the big, bad NFL and winning. He should be favored.


Packers QB Aaron Rodgers (+200 In NFL Betting)
Rodgers also is looking for his third NFL MVP Award; I know deep down that Rodgers would love to win  more than the three that Brett Favre won before him. Favre and Rodgers were never all that close before No. 4 left Green Bay. Rodgers was the 2014 MVP when he completed 341 of 520 passes (65.6 percent) for 4,381 yards and 38 touchdowns with just five interceptions. That produced a passer rating of 112.2, second in the league. This season for the unbeaten Pack, Rodgers is second in the NFL in rating (115.9) and touchdowns (15) but "only" 18th in yards per game at 249.0. But Rodgers was never one of those guys who was going to throw for 5,000 yards like Brady or Manning or Drew Brees. The Green Bay offense doesn't work that way. Rodgers could be in line for two mediocre games by his standards, however, the next two weeks as Green Bay visits Denver and Carolina, two excellent defenses. If either the Packers or Patriots finish the season unbeaten, then either Brady or Rodgers is going to win MVP. You can book that. Rodgers was the +500 favorite to open the season.


Panthers QB Cam Newton (+900 On NFL Picks)
Newton isn't going to come close to the statistical numbers of Brady or Rodgers. But Newton is doing more with a lot less as he has one of the worst groups of receivers in the NFL, especially after losing 2014 first-round pick Kelvin Benjamin for the season back in August. Newton is the sole reason the Panthers are the most surprising 6-0 team in the NFL. He is completing just 55.8 percent of his passes for 1,275 yards, nine touchdowns and seven interceptions. That rating of 78.4 is 28th in the NFL and behind  guys like Ryan Fitzpatrick, Jameis Winston, Kirk Cousins, Colin Kaepernick and Blake Bortles. Newton also has made the big plays when needed as the Cats have won close games against Houston, New Orleans and Seattle. You can make the case right now that Newton is better than Andrew Luck, and who would have thought that entering 2015? Newton remains a major running threat, carrying 54 times for 245 yards and four scores. The Panthers' remaining schedule, outside of Nov. 8 vs. Green Bay, is quite easy as well.

The rest of the Bovada options are Cincinnati's Andy Dalton (+1800), who leads the league in rating and should be at a much lower price, Arizona's Carson Palmer (+1800), Atlanta running back Devonta Freeman (+2500), Pittsburgh running back Le'Veon Bell (+2500), even though Bell  missed the first two games, and Minnesota running back Adrian Peterson (+5000).

NFL Free Pick:  Have to stick with Brady -- hopefully you got him at the price of +2000 at Bovada back in August when the site expected him to miss a few games. 

comment here