Unwrap Christmas Bonus with Top Total Plays for NFL Week 16

Doug Upstone

Friday, December 22, 2017 3:32 PM UTC

Friday, Dec. 22, 2017 3:32 PM UTC

With it being the Christmas weekend, I will do my best to give you at least a couple free presents with my NFL picks. Consider it like a secret Santa, and by Christmas Eve you will know if you like these gifts.

NFL Week 16

After being blistered two weeks ago, I came back with a winning Week 15 in my NFL picks to raise my record to 25-16-1, which is nearly 61 percent. When breaking down the NFL odds, here are this week's Sunday selections.

Chargers vs. Jets

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Free NFL Pick: Under (42.5)Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

The Los Angeles Chargers (known going forward as the Carson Chargers), coming off three strong defensive showings, were torched for 30 points by Kansas City and basically lost their chance to win the AFC West. It did not help the Chargers that the offense committed four turnovers, often placing them in terrible field position. The Bolts defense should return to normal against a feeble Jets offense that is not the same without Josh McCown. Carson's finest (unless you include the soccer team) have enjoyed a few shining moments on offense this season, but 22.2 PPG in hardly dynamic. I'll back the lower score with the Chargers 8-2 under versus AFC competition.

Dolphins vs. Chiefs

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Free NFL Pick: Under (44)Best Line Offered: Heritage

Kansas City's season, particularly on offense, has been in three parts. In their first eight games they tallied a robust 29.5 PPG. Once November arrived, K.C. went belly up and was a rotting mess at 13 PPG. But the turn of the calendar to December was like Austin Powers getting his mojo back, and this month the Chiefs are averaging 29 PPG. Now Kansas City welcomes Miami to town and the total is at 44; the Chiefs are 8-0 under at home when the total is between 42.5 and 45 points. Plus, after Andy Reid's squad has rung up 25 or more points in back-to-back outings, they again are 8-0 under.

Jaguars vs. 49ers

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Free NFL Pick: Over (42)Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

Jacksonville has the finest scoring defense in that NFL, holding teams to 14.9 PPG, and they take on a San Francisco offense that comes in ranked 25th at 18.1 PPG. An easy under, right? Not so fast, you with the fat betting account following these plays and being smart on your own. The Jaguars are averaging 26.7 PPG on the road this season and this month they are scoring a sensational 35 PPG. QB Blake Bortles is finally fulfilling expectations, and he and his teammates need a focused effort to wrap up the AFC South. With Jimmy Garoppolo now the conductor of 49ers offense, the Niners move the ball more effectively and scoring is up. With Jacksonville off two home victories, they are 15-5 over in next contest, with an average total score more than 45 points.

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