Tracking Line Movement for Saints-Falcons Week 1 NFL Pick

Steven Suarez

Monday, September 1, 2014 3:57 PM GMT

Monday, Sep. 1, 2014 3:57 PM GMT

The NFL betting odds are favoring Drew Brees and the Saints in Week 1 against a division rival in Atlanta. The Falcons are hoping they can rebound after a dreadful 2013-14 season.

* * U P D A T E * *
The lines have stayed the same for this divisional battle. The Saints still find themselves favored by a field goal despite being on the road.

There are no major injury concerns to report. Drew Brees didn't feature much in the preseason, but is apparently completely healthy and ready to go for the opener. The same holds true for Atlanta's dynamic wideout duo of Julio Jones and Roddy White. Steven Jackson is injury-free as well.

Our free NFL pick for this Week 1 affair will come on the Falcons. This is good value on a talented team at home, one that's fully healthy for the first time in a while. Back Atlanta.

NFL Pick: Falcons +3 at BetOnline

 

It was truly a horrendous season for Atlanta, who finished with only four wins, this after being pinned as a legitimate Super Bowl contender coming in. Injuries got in the way and derailed the Falcons' season, but they appear most healthy heading into the new season.

Oddsmakers haven't forgotten about last year, however, and have thus installed the Saints as a three-point favorites in Week 1. The O/U was at 52 at time of writing, which is no surprise given the proficiency of these two offenses.

Atlanta in 2013-14 Regular Season: 4-12 SU, 7-9 ATS, -5.6 margin of victory

New Orleans in 2013-14 Regular Season: 11-5 SU, 8-8 ATS, +6.9 margin of victory

This isn't an easy game to cap.

Atlanta's performance last season was most likely an aberration. The Falcons were much more talented than what their record may suggest, and now that Julio Jones is back and healthy and Steven Jackson appears on the mend too, you can see why there's reason for optimism. Still, there are question marks defensively, and a season-ending injury to Sean Weatherspoon is a blow.

The Saints are always going to be competitive as long as Drew Brees is under center. This team lost Darren Sproles, but they've re-tooled and added another receiving target by drafting Brandin Cooks to to complement a receiving corps that already features Marques Colston, Kenny Stills, and of course top tight end Jimmy Graham.

You could see why sharps may very well focus on the game's total instead when making their NFL picks. These are two of the most stacked offenses in the league, with a staggering amount of playmakers set to partake in Sunday's festivities inside the Georgia Dome.

Nonetheless, considering we've already seen a dramatic shift in the lines – Atlanta actually opened as a favorite but is now the underdog – you may want to continue monitoring the NFL odds movement. 

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