Total Offers NFL Betting Value as Giants Host Falcons in Week 5

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, September 30, 2014 4:47 PM GMT

The Giants walloped the Redskins on national television last Thursday, and will be aiming to inflict similar damage on the Falcons this Sunday. Check out which NFL picks we believe hold the most value in Week 5.

 

The Giants walloped the Redskins on national television last Thursday, and will be aiming to inflict similar damage on the Falcons this Sunday. Check out which NFL picks we believe hold the most value in Week 5.

Opening NFL odds show New York favored by four points at almost every single sportsbook. There's one or two sites that have a line of 4.5 available.

An opening total of 49 has been bet up slightly to 50, and we wouldn't be surprised to see further movement throughout the week. These two offenses have proven to be formidable when executing properly.

New York Giants in 2014-15 Regular Season: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, +3.0 margin of victory

Injury Watch: Odell Beckham (questionable), Devon Kennard (questionable), Jon Beason (questionable)

Atlanta Falcons in 2014-15 Regular Season: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, +4.5 margin of victory

Injury Watch: Harry Douglas (questionable), William Moore (questionable)

The Giants were the underdogs in the odds for their Thursday night battle with Washington, but boy did they smash that notion. They came in and crushed the Redskins from start to finish, leaving the nation's capital with a convincing 45-14 victory. If you backed New York, you didn't sweat whatsoever.

QB Eli Manning was 28-of-39 for 300 yards with four touchdown passes (and a rushing TD) and one interception. He finished with a 97.5 QBR.

Manning found tight end Larry Donnell seven times for 54 yards and three touchdowns, with Daniel Fells hauling in the other scoring play. Victor Cruz added six receptions for a game-high 108 yards and fellow wideout Reuben Randle chipped in with eight catches for 89 yards. Running backs Andre Williams and Rashad Jennings combined for 28 carries, 121 yards and a touchdown.

The Giants may find it difficult to match that kind of offensive display this weekend, though the Falcons haven't exactly done much defensively to scare anyone.

That was proven true again in Week 4, as Atlanta fell 41-28 in Minnesota.

It's not like the Falcons had much trouble moving the ball. After all, they've ha one of the league's best offenses so far this season. However, they've been truly terrible defensively, and that didn't change this past Sunday, as the Falcons let Teddy Bridgewater and company walk all over them.

QB Matt Ryan finished 25-of-41 for 298 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions, Antone Smith and Steven Jackson had 111 rushing yards and a score between them, and Julio Jones, Roddy White and Devin Hester all logged at least 70 receiving yards, with White and Hester reaching the end zone. That said, it didn't matter, as Atlanta couldn't stop Minnesota from imposing its will when the home team had the ball.

 

Suarez Says:
The Giants and Falcons have been two of the most unpredictable teams to come to terms with in the early stages of the season. We've learned that Atlanta could turn out to be a good fade on the road the rest of the way, but you never know with that lethal offense.

Then there's New York, who seem to come out of nowhere and dominate when you least expect. Manning was terrible last weekend, and figures to have another successful outing against this suspect Atlanta defense.

Since we don't trust either team with an ATS play right now, we're going to head towards the “over” instead. Manning and Ryan are slinging the ball like nobody's business, and there will be a ton of playmaking potential on the field with the likes of Julio Jones, Roddy White, Victor Cruz and the rest.

With our NFL picks, let's bank on a high-scoring game between two offenses that are clicking at the moment.

NFL Pick: OVER at 5Dimes

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