Toss Up on the NFL Odds for Week 3's Packers vs. Lions

Steven Suarez

Monday, September 15, 2014 2:39 PM GMT

Division foes Detroit and Green Bay square off Week 3, and the NFL odds suggest this one will come down to the wire. How are the opening football betting lines shaping up, and which team are we favoring with our sports picks?

***U P D A T E ***

There's been considerable movement in the NFL odds throughout the week, and there's still a couple days left for the lines to shift further.

At time of writing, the Lions were favored by either 2.5 or 3 points for this home game against a divisional opponent in Green Bay. The total is at 52 points.

Aside from Joique Bell, who's questionable, Detroit's injuries mainly come on the defensive side of the ball. Nick Fairley, Ezekiel Ansah and James Ihedigbo are just some of the names that are questionable to play this Sunday.

For Green Bay, there are no major offensive injury concerns, but linebacker Brad Jones is listed as out.

This should be a great game, but in the end we believe the value comes with Green Bay as underdogs. The Packers started off slow in the first half last week, but found their stride in the second half, and we look for that momentum to be carried over into this road game against a familiar foe. 

We're still not completely convinced about the Lions, who were torn to shreds and exposed by the Panthers in Week 2. Let's roll with Green Bay as the NFL betting underdogs this weekend.

Free NFL Pick: Packers +3 at 5Dimes

 

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It's essentially a toss-up in the NFL odds, with the line at a PK at 5Dimes. Other sites have the Lions narrowly favored by a point.

If you're thinking a total play is the way to go, as of now the O/U is at 52 points. We know what these two offenses can do, so it wouldn't be surprising to see the number rise throughout the week leading up to kickoff Sunday.

Detroit Lions in 2014-15 Regular Season: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, +2.0 margin of victory

Green Bay Packers in 2014-15 Regular Season: 1-1 SU, 0-1-1 ATS, -6.5 margin of victory

Heading into Week 2, the Lions had to be feeling confident after crushing the Giants in their season opener.

However, they ran into a much better defense in Carolina, and ended up losing 24-7. It's not too often you see this Detroit offense, led by the unstoppable Calvin Johnson, get held to seven total points, so credit the Panthers.

In all, Stafford completed 27-of-48 pass attempt for 291 yards, while throwing one touchdown and one interception. Johnson led all Detroit receivers with 83 yards, while Joique Bell had 97 total yards in the loss. Reggie Bush ran six times for 26 yards and added six yards on two catches in a forgettable afternoon.

Considering the Packers have struggled defensively so far this season, you have to figure the Lions will get back on track, especially since they'll be at home.

Green Bay managed to erase a large deficit to top the Jets 31-24 at Lambeau Field in Week 2. Aaron Rodgers was terrific in the second half, and finished with 346 passing yards and three touchdowns, without throwing a pick. He linked up amazingly well with Jordy Nelson, who torched New York for 209 yards and a score. Randall Cobb had only 39 receiving yards, yet found the end zone twice in the win, while Eddie Lacy (13 rushes for 43 yards) was held in check.

Though the Packers saved their blushes by coming back to win, it's clear they have a lot to work on, especially on the defensive side of the ball.

Nonetheless, they should be buoyed by getting their first win, and Rodgers and company will have to feel good about their chances of getting the best of a team they're very familiar with in Detroit. If the lines remain the same, it's going to be hard not to back Green Bay for our NFL pick in this spot.