Top Value Week 6 NFL Picks for Largest Totals

Matthew Jordan

Friday, October 10, 2014 4:45 PM GMT

A solid enough Week 5 on picking games with the largest totals, going 2-1-1, hitting on Bucs-Saints 'over' 48 points and Cardinals-Broncos 'over' 47.5. Pushed on Falcons-Giants at 50. Here are the Pinnacle highest Week 6 totals on NFL odds.

Chicago Bears vs. Atlanta Falcons (54 on NFL odds)
No surprise at all that this has the highest total as neither team is very good defensively but pretty potent offensively -- especially Atlanta when it plays at home. Chicago has allowed at least 31 points in losing two straight games and ranks 23rd in points allowed at 26.2. Actually the defense has largely played admirably, but the offense keeps turning the ball over. Jay Cutler has done so himself five times in the past two games. It's time to call it like it is: Jay Cutler is Jeff George.  Atlanta ranks 29th in points allowed at 28.6 per game. It has allowed at least 30 points in a two-game losing streak. At home, the Falcons have been an offensive juggernaut in going 2-0. They put up 37 on the Saints in Week 1 and an NFL-high 56 in Week 3 against Tampa Bay. Don't be surprised if Devin Hester returns a kick against the Bears as he's still miffed the team let him go this past offseason. That is if the Bears dare kick to him.

Free NFL Pick: 'Over.' For this NFL pick keep in mind the 'over' is 6-0 at sportsbooks in Chicago's past six against the NFC. The 'over' is 9-3 in Atlanta's past 12 at home.

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New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles (50 at sportsbooks)
Everyone thinks the Eagles have a high-powered offense, and they do rank second in the NFL in points per game at 31.2. However, it's a bit misleading. Did you know the Eagles have scored an incredible seven non-offensive touchdowns already, including four special teams touchdowns in the past three games? So if you take those 49 points away, the team is averaging just 21.4 points per game. Bovada, incidentally, offers +600 for Philly to score another special teams TD this week, with no at -1000. Nick Foles has been off the past two weeks, completing a combined 45 of 80 for 402 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. The Giants, meanwhile, have scored at least 30 points in every game during their three-game winning streak. A rejuvenated running game has rejuvenated quarterback Eli Manning. However, starting tailback Rashad Jennings is out this week and likely a few more. These teams split last year, the Giants losing a home shootout but winning a road low-scoring game.

Free NFL Pick: 'Over.' It is 5-1 on NFL odds in Philly's past six at home.

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Green Bay Packers vs. Miami Dolphins (48.5 on NFL lines)
Green Bay was very inconsistent offensively the first three weeks but has it rolling now, totaling 80 points in winning two straight as Aaron Rodgers has resembled his MVP self. Running back Eddie Lacy had not been good off his Offensive Rookie of the Year season but exploded for 105 yards last time out against the Vikings. Miami is one of those teams that is capable of putting up 35 points or doing next to nothing. That's what you get with third-year QB Ryan Tannehill. Miami does come off a bye week and if anyone knows Green Bay's offense it's head coach Joe Philbin, the former Packers offensive coordinator.

Free NFL Pick:'Under.' Miami's past five have gone under at sportsbooks against teams with a winning record.

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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns (47.5 at sportsbooks)
Who would have thought a Steelers-Browns matchup would have this high of a total when the season began? Pittsburgh was supposed to be a typical Steelers team: run-heavy and strong on defense. Cleveland was supposed to be lousy on offense with Brian Hoyer/Johnny Manziel at QB and no Josh Gordon. Yet the Browns haven't been held under 21 points yet and Hoyer has been very good. Manziel might not get a start all season if Hoyer keeps this up. The Pittsburgh defense has been very hit or miss. When these two met Week 1 the total at sportsbooks was set at 41.5. The Steelers won 30-27 on a field goal at the gun. The weather apparently won't be a factor as the forecast is for very nice conditions.

Free NFL Pick: 'Under.'  It is 5-2 in the past seven meetings on NFL lines. 

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