Top Value Team Props for Your Week 14 NFL Picks

Jordan Sharp

Sunday, December 7, 2014 1:16 PM UTC

Sunday, Dec. 7, 2014 1:16 PM UTC

With only four weeks of the NFL regular season remaining, the NFL Odds are getting harder to beat. However one way to remedy that is to use some prop picks. I have found several valuable prop wagers from bet365 that I am adding to my NFL Picks.

Chiefs vs. Cardinals race to 15 points
I have talked about it for the last few weeks now, but the Cardinals are in trouble, and this team's NFL odds are in danger of free falling from their pedestal in the AFC. Without Carson Palmer, their offense is going completely stale, and this week they will also be without their young running back, Andre Ellington, which will make their offense even worse. Going up against the Chiefs’ defense is the trifecta of losing for the Cardinals and their depleted offense this week, and I think it will lead to the Chiefs getting out to an early lead. Even though Kansas City’s offense isn’t exactly high-powered, they are efficient. They should have no issues beating the Cardinals to 15 points this week, and it will net you a nice +100 cash when they do.

Free NFL Pick: Chiefs 1st to 15 points (+100)

Steelers O/U 21.5 points
The Steelers are in Cincinnati this week to play the Bengals, and after a loss last week, Pittsburgh is badly in need of a win. The Bengals on the other hand might be the luckiest team in the NFL. Not only have they had a game tie this season that they probably should have lost, they should have lost last week in Tampa as well. This week however I see the Steelers having their way with the Bengals’ defense, and if that’s the case their team total of 21.5 is simply too low this week. The Steelers have been on fire offensively as of late. In their last six games the Steelers have been averaging nearly 33 points per game, and that was with a bad loss to the Jets where they only scored 13 points. I could easily see the Steelers getting more than three touchdowns in this game, or a combination of scoring to get them to 22 points or higher. The Bengals’ defense is slowly improving, but at home this year they haven’t been great on defense. I see a higher scoring game anyways.

Free NFL Pick: Steelers OVER 21.5 points (-110)

Seahawks vs. Eagles O/U 3.5 FGs

This is one of the better games of the week, and like it was two years ago in the playoffs, this matchup could once again be an opening round playoff matchup in the NFC. With the Seahawks starting to play better, and the Eagles finding rhythm with mark Sanchez, this is going to be a very contested game. With that being said, I see the field goal total as a way to mix up your NFL Picks for this one. Theses two teams are tied for the most field goals made this season at 27, along with Dan Carpenter and the Bills. Against the improving defense of the Seahawks, I think Cody Parkey will be asked to mop up some sloppy red zone play by the Eagles in this game. On the season the Eagles are 29th in red zone conversion percentage, and the Seahawks aren’t going to help them improve that this week. Seattle isn’t much better in the RZ at 26th, just under 50%. Look for a kicking-fest in Philly.

Free NFL Pick: OVER 3.5 FGs (-120)

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