Top Value Team Props for Your Week 11 NFL Picks

Jordan Sharp

Sunday, November 16, 2014 3:06 PM GMT

It’s another week of football, and I am back to release my team prop picks for Week 11 absolutely free. There are some nice NFL odds this week from bet365 sportsbook, and I have chosen my three favorites, and I’m adding them to my NFL picks this week. 

Texans vs. Browns 3 unanswered scored
The three unanswered scores prop is like my white whale. I am always searching for it, and always fantasizing about it, but I never seem to catch it. However despite my run of bad luck with this prop, the value presented to us this week for the Texans and Browns is too good to pass up. At +140 for a no, I am going fishing once again with this prop.

Ryan Mallett starting for the Texans should give them some more offensive upside, and that will keep the Browns from running away with this game. Even though it might not be perfect to start, Mallett’s arm gives the Texans a better chance at staying with the tough Browns defense in this game. For this week’s NFL odds, bet that neither team will score three unanswered times.

NFL Pick: No Three unanswered scores (+140) at bet365

 

Vikings vs. Bears race to 10 points
The Bears have all but fallen out of the NFC playoff hunt, and with all of the turmoil around the Bears right now, this week against the Vikings might be their chance to take out some of those frustrations. Even though the Minnesota defense has been better recently their offense has not given them many chances to win recently. If you take away their game last week against the weaker Washington Redskins, the Vikings had failed to reach 20 points in four straight games leading into Week 10. Even though the Bears’ defense is like jelly rght now, I think they can get to 10 points before the Vikings do. The Bears are going to have to run the ball more and if they do that will go a long way in beating the Vikings to ten points. Before this recent losing streak, the Bears had beaten their opponent to ten points in four straight between Weeks 3-6.

NFL Pick: Bears first to ten points (-125)

 

Patriots vs. Colts O/U 4.5 FGs
By all means this game should live up to being the game of the week on Sunday night, but not for the reasons that people think. Sure these are two of the best AFC teams outside of Denver, Colorado, and sure they both have great offenses, but they both also have great defenses. With a high total of 57 points, there is bound to be some scoring, but if these two teams can hold in the red zone, the score might be a little lower, and the field goals kicked might be plentiful.

There are two of the best field goal kicking teams in the NFL right now. Stephen Gostkowski currently leads the NFL in field goals made, while Adam Vinetari is right behind him inside the top five. I don’t think it’s farfetched at all to see these two teams get intoa kicking war at some point in this game, and if that’s the case, this is my favorite prop of the week from bet365. Both teams are in the top half of the league in points per field goal attempt as well, and while they both don’t have great red zone defenses, in this big game, I expect them to. The NFL odds value at +140 for the over on this prop is just too good to pass up so make sure to add it to your NFL picks this week.

NFL Pick: OVER 4.5 FGS (+140)