After a successful Week 9 of NFL betting, I am back once again for Week 10 team props. There are some nice NFL odds values from bet365 sportsbook, so follow along as I give you three valuable NFL Picks.
Titans vs. Ravens: Race to the Points
Baltimore needs a win to keep pace with America’s Team the Cleveland Browns, as well as the surging Steelers, and they have a good chance at doing it this week against the Titans. Tennessee will once again be starting their rookie quarterback, Zach Mettenberger, and on the road, those prospects aren’t that great. So to extract a little more value from this game, I am going with the Ravens to beat and get to 30 points this week against the Titans.
The Ravens’ team total this week is 27 ½, which is only a few points away from 30. It’s almost a certainty that the Ravens will be the first to 30 points if they get there at all, so this wager is just a team total bet on Baltimore. However there is a lot more value on it. At +150, this is a great value, especially when their team total would only net you -110 NFL odds at best. Also this way the Ravens only have to touch 30 points. They don’t even need to go over it. It’s these kinds of NFL Picks that can make or break your week, and I think this one will help make it. The Titans’ defense is surely capable of giving up 30 points on the road to Baltimore.
Free NFL Props Pick: Ravens 1st to 30 points (+150)
Bears vs. Packers: O/U 30.5
Green Bay has a tasty home matchup against the Bears this week, and while the NFL odds are firmly in favor of the Packers, if Jay Cutler and the Bears can play smarter than they did in their loss to the Packers a few weeks ago, I doubt Green Bay will get above 30 points. If Cutler wouldn’t have turned the ball over twice in that game, the Packers might not have gotten to 38 points.
Another factor is that it’s now or never for the Bears. If they lose this week, their playoff hopes are done. I see the Bears running the ball a ton on the soft Packers run defense, and keeping Aaron Rodgers on the sideline. If they can do that, this should go under, and be a lower scoring game.
Free NFL Props Pick: Under 30.5 (-125) at Bet365
Chiefs vs. Bills: O/U 5.5 sacks
Two teams with some tasty defensive lines are facing off against one another, and with bot teams seemingly fighting for the same wild card spot, this should be a good game. With games with implications come lower scores and big hits, and that’s what I’m counting on with this NFL pick. I think these two clubs can easily sack one another six or more times this week, leading to the over being a solid bet.
The Bills have one of the better pass rushes in the NFL, and while the Chiefs aren’t as good in that department this season, they are still in the top half of the league in sacks in 2014. These two have combined for 43 sacks this season, and in a game that could end up 13-10, I see a lot of pass rushing, and a lot of Kyle Orton and Alex Smith on the turf.
Free NFL Props Pick: Over 5.5 sacks (-110)