Top Totals Plays for Week 13: Opportunity Knocks

Doug Upstone

Friday, December 1, 2017 12:04 AM UTC

Friday, Dec. 1, 2017 12:04 AM UTC

We have five football Sundays in December, which should provide us ample opportunity to keep building our bankroll. Besides, being able to bet on totals is often more advantageous late in the season.

When trying to generate NFL picks against the spread in December, it is often not that easy when you have really bad matchups between crummy teams or complete mismatches, which are often hard to predict because of level of interest by either club. When reviewing the NFL odds, the totals are easier to determine, with the sportsbooks providing a platform in which to follow with opening line and if adjustments have been made. Bottom line, more opportunities. Let's see if I can better a quality 22-10-1 ATS season record.

Niners-Bears Windy City Clash Has 'Under' Look

Among the lowest scoring teams in the league are San Francisco at 17 points a game and Chicago right behind at 16.1 PPG. In spite of this, neither team has played an inordinate amount of low-scoring contests, though the Bears are close at 7-4 UNDER. However, if you subtract each club's highest-scoring total in their past five outings, the Niners come in at 10.7 PPG and Chicago at 11.7 PPG. Maybe Jimmy Garoppolo provides a spark for San Francisco, but the average score for both teams in road/home situations is below 40 points, which leads to an UNDER play.

Free NFL Pick: Under 41Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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Chargers in High Gear & Cleveland Will Not Stop Them

Wide receiver Keenan Allen returning to form for the Chargers' Philip Rivers was like getting the band back together. The Los Angeles offense the past couple weeks has functioned more like when Rivers was younger, and Allen's presence has freed up other players with Rivers taking full advantage of this. With Cleveland the second-worst defensive team in allowing points at 26.3 PPG, it would seem Carson, Calif.'s favorite football team should exploit this. With the total at 43, the Browns have shown the ability to give points away and score in the fourth quarter of games that are over, which could provide a backdoor cover if necessary. Additionally, road teams like Cleveland scoring 17 or fewer points a game after tallying that many or less in two straight contests are 28-5 OVER the next time out.

Free NFL Pick: Over 43Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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Scoreboard Sizzles in Seattle

Philadelphia has taken over as the highest-scoring club in the NFL at 31.9 PPG and will face a Seattle secondary that has been weakened by injuries. On Sunday night, I'm not saying the Eagles get their average, but they should come fairly close and the Seahawks offense, led by Russell Wilson, comes in 10th in scoring at 24.2 PPG. With the total having dipped from 48 to 47, one cannot ignore Seattle is 16-2 OVER as an underdog of 3.5-9.5 points, and drilling down deeper is 6-0 OVER as a home underdog of 3.5-7 points.

Free NFL Pick: Over 47Best Line Offered: JustBet

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