Top Totals Plays for NFL Week 4

Doug Upstone

Friday, September 29, 2017 3:09 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 29, 2017 3:09 PM UTC

This will be our last full week of all 32 teams playing in the NFL until the week of Thanksgiving, thus we should be thankful we still have 15 more games to choose from this upcoming weekend.

In surveying the football landscape, the oddsmakers at least in this person's opinion have done a really good job in creating the NFL odds on totals and it required extra work to uncover three choices.

To date, I am 5-1 on NFL picks for totals at this location and here is what I am forecasting Sunday.


Rise and Shine for Higher Score in London

In the Eastern Time zone, the New Orleans vs. Miami game is early enough at 9:30 am, but for those of us in the Western Time zone, unless you have cash on the line, not everyone is going to be excited about a 6:30 am wakeup call. But over in London, it is the afternoon and Drew Brees is starting to get in sync with his receivers, which could be trouble for a below average Miami secondary. Also, expect Jay Cutler to have success against the Saints defense which was shredded by Minnesota and New England and only held up last week because Carolina could not connect on passes. With the total at 50, take the OVER.

Free NFL Pick: Over 50.5Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Struggling Offenses Lead To Few Points in Baltimore

Past results do not guarantee future prognostications, yet I cannot look at the struggles of the Pittsburgh and Baltimore offenses and ignore them. The Steelers running game does not even average a first down per three consecutive rush attempts (3.1 YPC) and the passing offense has not shown any big play capabilities this season. How bad are the Ravens pass offense, they are trailing 31st ranked Houston by 46 yards! Baltimore's running game has been solid at 142 yards a game, but normally you do not line up against Pittsburgh and expect to run on them for four quarters and leave victorious. With the Steelers 17-5 UNDER on the road of late and 11-2 UNDER as a road favorite, its crystal clear where my money is.

Free NFL Pick: Under 42Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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NFL Soccer Stadium Will See Scoring

The Eagles fly to Carson, CA to take on the city's second favorite sports team, the L.A. Chargers. Once again the Chargers are as famous announcer Keith Jackson used to say "bumbling and stumbling", with a 0-3 record. San Diego, oops, sorry, the Chargers were supposed to be improved this season, which to this point is far from the truth. Nonetheless, this being a nonconference contest, the action may be looser for both clubs and Philip Rivers has a bust out game and Philadelphia's offense has shown a propensity to score (25.7 PPG) and allow a fair amount of points (22.7). With Philly coach Doug Pederson all but assured to make at least one hare-brained decision, which could hurt his team, I'll side with the OVER, with the Eagles 6-0 OVER in road games off one or more straight Over's since 2015.

Free NFL Pick: Over 47.5Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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