Top Super Bowl Player Prop Betting Picks: Predicting Top Receiving & Rushing Yards

Jordan Sharp

Saturday, January 31, 2015 2:54 PM UTC

Saturday, Jan. 31, 2015 2:54 PM UTC

We are only 48 hours away from the biggest spectacle in sports today, and we have been covering it extensively. These Player Props are excellent options to increase your profit post-game.

Julian Edelman Longest Reception O/U 17 ½ yards
Julian Edelman might be one the aces in the hole for the Patriots in this game. The Seahawks have probably been preparing all week for the over the middle and red zone monster that is Rob Gronkowski, but Edelman is almost just as much of a threat over the middle and on third down. However that’s what caps his value. While the Patriots will shake things up and go deep with Edelman sometimes, the corners for the Seahawks won’t be getting beat by Edelman on go routes. That’s why I think this over/under for his longest reception is way too high. Throughout he playoffs, Edelman has averaged only 10.1 yards per catch. He did have a 23-yard reception against the Colts, but the Seahawks defense poses a more difficult matchup. I doubt Edelman has a catch longer than 17 yards, and the NFL Odds value is with the under in this one at -105. I am adding it as one of my first player props this week.

My Pick: UNDER 17 ½ Longest Reception (-105)


Russell Wilson O/U 42 ½ rush yards
We cashed the under with this exact prop earlier in the playoffs against the Panthers, but even with two straight games of 25 yards rushing or less, Bovada has Russell Wilson’s total for rushing yards in this game set at 42 ½. What is Bovada smoking over there to think that Wilson is going to take off that many times in this game? If the Patriots are getting enough pressure on him to force him to run is one thing, but I think New England’s defense is good enough to prevent him from getting loose in the secondary. In his last three games, two in the playoffs and one in Week 17, Wilson has rushed the ball 20 times for only 54 yards, an average of only 2.7 yards per carry. The Seahawks are going to have to run the ball in this game, but it’s probably better if Marshawn Lynch is doing it.

My Pick: UNDER 42 ½ rush yards (-105)


Who Will Have More Receiving Yards: Jermaine Kearse vs. Brandon LaFell
The Super Bowl prop odds for this one has a spread of -10 ½ yards in favor of Brandon LaFell, but even though he needs 11 more receiving yards than Jermaine Kearse to win this bet, I think it’s a solid wager in this one. Kearse is almost a forgotten guy in the Seattle offense, and if it weren’t for that huge overtime touchdown pass, Kearse wouldn’t even be a 20-yards underdog to LaFell in this one. That play in the NFC Title game was Kearse’s only catch in that game on six targets. LaFell got six targets in a game that was a blowout two weeks ago, and he should get three or four more in the Super Bowl for the Patriots. LaFell had eight or more targets in half of the Patriots games this season, and Kearse saw eight targets in one game this entire season. I see LaFell running away with this one.

My Pick: Kearse -10 ½ receiving yards (-115)

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