As we head into week 7 NFL betting we look at total betting odds for each and every game in order to serve up comprehensive NFL picks for the week’s slate that NFL bettors can bet on individually or throw into a parlay.
Week 6 Recap: How did we do
For three weeks in a row we’ve done exceptionally well with our over-under NFL picks. Last week’s offering went 11-4, improving our NFL picks’ winning record to 29-12-1 in three weeks. So let’s dive into week 7 over-under NFL odds in an attempt to keep our winning streak going.
New York Jets vs. New England Patriots O/U 44.0
Thursday Night games have persistently delivered high-octane, high-scoring affairs through six weeks of NFL betting, save for the clash between Baltimore and Steelers in week 2. Indeed, the average has been hovering above 50-points. There’s every reason to assume this clash would fall in line with this Thursday trend on the season because a) the over has cashed in four of the last five games between the Jets and Patriots at Foxboro; b) Patriots have gone over in six of their last seven home games; c) the over has cashed in four of the last six Patriots’ games this season; and d) the Jets have gone over in three of their six games on the season. Patriots are averaging 26.7 points per game as well, an increased production courtesy of their last two outings in which they combined for 80 points.
NFL Picks: Over 44.0
Atlanta Falcons vs. Baltimore Ravens O/U 49.5
Both the Falcons and Ravens have split their games 3-3 in over-under betting this season. Conspicuously, both also are averaging 27.3 points per game so far this season. Two aspects that initially encouraged us to consider the ‘over’ for our NFL picks in this game. On the flipside, Falcons have gone over only once on the road this season while the Ravens have gone over only once at home this season. So which trend holds true when these two sides collide on Sunday. It’s a bit of a coin-toss, but forced to make a decision we’re backing the ‘over’ on our NFL picks, mainly because the Falcons’ defense is porous.
NFL Picks: Over 49.5
Carolina Panthers vs. Green Bay Packers O/U 49.0
Given Cam Newton’s last performance and the offensive prowess of Aaron Rodgers we fancy the ‘over’ in this game for our NFL picks. Last week’s 37-37 tie between the Panthers and Bengals was arguably Cam Newton’s best performance. The dual threat he poses on the ground and in the air should give the Packers a run for their money. Rodgers, meanwhile, is a clutch quarterback that seemingly has the answers when none appears readily available. Both sides are averaging 26.8 points per game from their respectable offenses.
NFL Picks: Over 49.0
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis Colts O/U 49.5
Andrew Luck and the Colts boast the top-ranked passing offense in the league, which accounts for 328.7 yards per game and racks up on average 31.5 points per game. If Andrew Luck continues on his rich vein of form, don’t be surprised if the Colts swallow the 49.5-points almost singlehandedly. Bengals meanwhile were pushed to the limit by the Panthers in a 74-point extravaganza last Sunday. They boast the 8th ranked passing offense in the league with an average of 269.6 points per game and a respectable 26.8 points per game. Colts have gone 5-1 in over-under betting so far this season.
NFL Picks: Over 49.5
Cleveland Browns vs. Jacksonville Jaguars O/U 45.0
The Browns hit the under for the first time this season when they held the Steelers to a 31-10 score on Sunday. Needless to say, the Browns offense has been producing at a high level, churning an average of 26.8 points per game – which puts them at the same production rate as Green Bay and Cincinnati. Jaguars, meanwhile, are after a 16-14 defeat to the Titans in week 6 NFL betting, their lowest combined score in game this season. Prior to that they were being consistently outscored, outmuscled and outplayed by the opposition all while accounting for the league’s lowest score tally at 13.5 points. One low score in a game doesn’t necessarily spell a change is on the horizon. Brian Hoyer has been playing lights out. He should overwhelm the weak Jaguars defense easily.
NFL Picks: Over 45.0
Miami Dolphins vs. Chicago Bears O/U 49.0
The Dolphins have been averaging 24.0 points per game while the Bears have been averaging 23.8 points per game. Both sides have seen the ‘over’ cash in more often than the ‘under’ in total NFL betting markets – Miami are 4-1 while Chicago are 4-2. This is a high tally for two sides that are susceptible to the off day, so the safest NFL bet might be the ‘under.’ Still, defenses of both teams are leaking at least 24 points on average, prompting us to take the chance on the ‘over’ instead.
NFL Picks: Over 49.0
Minnesota Vikings vs. Buffalo Bills O/U 42.5
Minnesota and Buffalo have shown a tendency for the ‘under’ this season. Vikings are 2-4 in over-under betting while the Bills are 1-5 in over-under betting. The Bills defense ranks amongst the best in the league, with just 21-points per game allowed – a number that swelled markedly after last week’s blowout by the Patriots. Bills defense should give the inexperienced rookie quarterback Teddy Bridgewater a lot of headaches.
NFL Picks: Under 42.5
New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions O/U 49.0
Saints have seen the ‘over’ cash in all three road games this season, making a strong case for a repeat of that trend in this game. Defensively, they are worrisome as well, allowing whopping 28.2-points per game, more than offense accounts for with an average of 26.4-points per game. By the numbers, the Saints are capable of pushing this game ‘over’ on both sides of the ball singlehandedly. Lions’ defense, however, is top of the league ahead of week 7 NFL betting, allowing a stingy 13.7 points per game. If Lions’ defense lives up to the hype, Drew Brees will have a tough time beating them to the end zone.
NFL Picks: Under 49.0
Seattle Seahawks vs. St. Louis Rams O/U 43.5
Seattle Seahawks’ offense was called out by one of their own after their shocking home defeat to Dallas Cowboys. Will Russell Wilson and the O-line answer against divisional rivals St. Louis Rams, who are desperate to bounce back after a defeat to the Niners? More likely than not, Seattle Seahawks offense will answer it’s critics. It helps that the Rams’ defense is leaking 30-points on average this season – third worst in the league.
NF Picks: Over 43.5
Tennessee Titans vs. Washington Redskins O/U 46.0
Titans offense is nothing to write home about averaging a measly 17.3 points per game. Last week, they only managed 16 points through four quarters. What’s more, the ‘under’ has cashed in twice in three road games this season. Redskins are averaging 22-points per game, but NFL betting trends reveal a conspicuous lack of scoring prowess in the last few games – they are averaging just 17-points per game in the last three weeks. The ‘under’ would therefore appear to be the value NFL pick if both sides continuing firing blanks.
NFL Picks: Under 46.0
Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Diego Chargers O/U 45.0
San Diego Chargers second-ranked defense could play a significant role in this game to force the under 45.0 – they’ve been allowing a mere 15-points per game so far. That said San Diego have spilt six games evenly in over-under betting this season. Given the quality of the Chiefs and their growing confidence as we go deeper into the NFL 2014 season, this game could go ‘over’ the 45-point total. Chargers offense is averaging 27.3 points per game and Chiefs are averaging 23.8 points per game.
NFL Picks: Over 45.0
Arizona Cardinals vs. Oakland Raiders O/U 44.0
Oakland Raiders had a standout game last week against the Chargers despite going down 31-28. It was the best offensive contribution so far, not to mention Carr’s best account with four touchdowns. The likelihood they would repeat that for a second straight week is unlikely according to many NFL experts. Consider the Cardinals have the worst passing defense – ranked 32nd in the league all while giving up 309 passing yards, is it really so unlikely. This is a new team so to speak with a new coach. And thanks to last week’s performance, the Raiders moved up the offensive charts to 11th in passing offense. This game could surprise NFL bettors and go ‘over’ the 44-point mark.
NFL Picks: Over 44.0
New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys O/U 48.0
Cowboys are proving legitimate contenders while Giants appear to have regressed. Last week’s round saw the Cowboys send shockwaves through sportsbooks with an upset win over Seattle, while the Giants enjoyed a pointless outing to Philadelphia – a tough pill to swallow for Giants’ backers. Cowboys are 16th in passing offense and first in rushing offense all while averaging 27.5 points per game. Giants are 18th against the rush and 24th against the pass. They’ll have their hands full with an inspired Cowboys offense coming off a statement-making win over the Seahawks on the road. What’s more, the Cowboys defense isn’t as bad as previously thought.
NFL Picks: Under 48.0
San Francisco 49ers vs. Denver Broncos O/U 49.5
San Francisco 49ers are 2-4 in over-under betting this season, largely down to one of the league’s best defenses. That said Colin Kaepernick enjoyed a breakout game last week against the St. Louis Rams, which could perk up the offense ahead of a huge date with Peyton Manning and the Broncos. Broncos are 3-2 in over-under betting this season all while averaging almost 30-points per game. The Niners are averaging 23.5 points per game. Given the hype and excitement surrounding this game, it could be a high-octane affair as it serves a litmus test for both offenses this season.
NFL Picks: Over 49.5
Houston Texans vs. Pittsburgh Steelers O/U 44.5
Texans have impressed us in the last few weeks with solid accounts against the Cowboys and Colts. J.J. Watt in particular had a monster game against the Colts last week. Houston has held opposition down to an average of 20-points per game. Steelers meanwhile have disappointed entirely. Last week, they could only come up with 10 points against Cleveland Browns. Overall, they are averaging just 20-points per game. The Steelers are a side that is headed in the wrong direction while the Texans have a lot of upside.
NFL Picks: Under 44.5