Top 6-Point Teaser Bets for Week 12: Cashing Large On a 20-4 Run!

Doug Upstone

Thursday, November 23, 2017 3:30 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 23, 2017 3:30 PM UTC

Our good fortune and sound methods had another strong week betting NFL teasers in Week 12, as we had nice combination winners on two and three-team teasers and came up just short on four-teamer.

But you know what? You are not going to win them all, and in the past six weeks we cashed numerous winners with a 20-4 mark, which should add up to quite a bit of profit. Again, teasers are not about just teams, it is about placing them in the right situations and right numbers against the NFL odds. On the season were are now 27-9 for these NFL picks, and here are my teaser choices for Sunday.

Cincinnati From -7.5 to -1.5 vs. Cleveland

Cincinnati has slid from -9 to -7.5 on the oddsmakers' original release, and for NFL teasers that is very advantageous for us. First, we buzz down through key numbers of 7, 6 and 3 and place ourselves into position where we only have one scenario where we would lose if the Bengals win. Here is something else I uncovered. When the teaser line on a favorite slips from -3 to -1.5, like what happened to Cincinnati, this covers 89.8 percent of the time in last 89 occurrences.

Carolina From -5 to +1 at N.Y. Jets

In my preseason reports and futures bets on win totals, one my strongest plays was Carolina OVER 8. At 7-3, this wager is looking good on the Panthers. What also is looking good is taking Carolina from a favorite to an underdog on this teaser. To the New York Jets' credit, they play hard every week and more than maximize the talent they have. This is why placing the Panthers in a teaser offers protection if the game is closer than expected. Also, when Carolina has played a losing team, in their history they have won these types of contests by 6 PPG.

Seattle From -6.5 to -0.5 at San Francisco

As we have chronicled here and other places, Seattle is no longer a dominating football team like a few years ago when they were 1-yard away from being back-to-back Super Bowl champions. However, even with this decline they are still better than San Francisco, and I see no reason why they cannot win this NFC West contest outright with the teaser adjustment. Besides, when the 49ers have faced teams averaging 5.65 or more yards per play the last three years, they have lost by 13.6 PPG!

New Orleans From +2.5 to +8.5 at L.A. Rams

We will find out this week if the Rams were finally exposed last Sunday when they take on New Orleans, which has won eight straight (7-1 ATS) after 0-2 start. As good as L.A. North's offense has been, the Saints are only one-tenth of a point behind them in scoring (30.3 vs. 30.2). With New Orleans 4-1 SU and ATS on the road this season, it sure appears the Saints can hang with the Rams on the scoreboard, and lifting them to this level we pass through three key numbers as I just mentioned about Cincinnati. Finally, when the Saints have just allowed 30 or more points in a previous contest, they have won next game by 4.6 PPG.

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