With so few choices in the Wild Card Round for teasers, I was not certain how we might do. Turns out none too shabby, with a 3-1 mark and hit combos of two and three-team teasers. Now to the Divisional Round ...
As I stated last week and it will apply again this weekend, when making NFL picks on teasers, limit yourself to two and three-teamers because it is really difficult to nail a four-teamer with so few games. We continue our fantastic run as we move to 43-9 on six-point teasers, and we are on the hunt for more. Rest assured it will still not be easy, but as long as you try and navigate the right way you will have a chance to beat the NFL odds and cash more winners! This is what I'm looking at this weekend in the Divisional Round.Atlanta/Philadelphia UNDER Teaser
The total on this NFC encounter Saturday has slid from 43.5 to 41, making either side hard to back from a value perspective. Nonetheless, I still like the UNDER on the teaser side since we can take that to 47. There is grave concern about what Nick Foles is going to produce for Philadelphia. That is compounded by the fact the Atlanta defense has quietly gone about its business and permitted only 16.3 points a game in their last half-dozen outings (all UNDERS). Since the Falcons offense is not robust in scoring at 22.3 PPG and the Eagles allow 18.4 PPG, we should be in great shape.New England From -13 to -7 vs. Tennessee
While Tennessee at +19 is tempting, we will go the other way. New England at -7 on teaser line gets off a relatively important number like 13, below 10 and sets us up at no worse than push at 7. From a stats perspective, the Patriots are home, have the No. 2 pass offense and are taking on the Titans' No. 25 pass defense. Plus, the Pats are 14-0 against a teaser line, having won three of their last four contests.Pittsburgh From -7 to Pick'em vs. Jacksonville
Jacksonville does present a threat because of its defense; nonetheless, sliding through several key numbers down to a pick'em on Pittsburgh is terrific. The Steelers' season changed after being upset by the Jaguars in Week 5 as the Jags ran the ball with great authority, which further opened up the passing game. While it is true that winning a playoff game is more important than revenge, we note Pittsburgh is 11-1 ATS at home revenging an upset loss as a home favorite, winning by more than 11 PPG.New Orleans From +4 to +10 at Minnesota
A strong case can be made for both sides, but from betting situation I prefer where we can buy New Orleans. With the Saints, we zoom past 6 and 7 and are offered protection on +10 if we add to a three-teamer. When looking at both teams, each has excellent indicators for covering a spread. What entices yours truly is New Orleans wins by 3 points on average when playing with revenge (Vikings beat Saints Week 1) on the past 15 occasions. And despite Minnesota being a great cover team at home, the Saints' margin of victory is 8.1 PPG.