Top 6-Point Teaser Bets for Championship Sunday: Eagles Dogs Again

Doug Upstone

Thursday, January 18, 2018 4:40 PM UTC

Thursday, Jan. 18, 2018 4:40 PM UTC

After a great season for picking teasers and doing quite well in the playoffs, the conference championship games will be interesting. Sunday, we determine who goes to the Super Bowl, and we are confident which one team will be.

The NFC Championship Game on Sunday holds a great deal of intrigue. The AFC tilt not so much. For the season, I have always been up front about how to bet teasers. We came down the stretch against the NFL odds with a 46-10 record, which includes 6-2 in the postseason. All year our conservative approach has helped us win money and saved us from losing. That same thinking applies to this week, where I recommend to only wager on two-teamers, because of our lack of choices. It has been a fantastic year and hopefully we can go out in style for NFL picks on teasers.

Jacksonville/New England UNDER Teaser

With how stingy the Patriots defense has been in allowing points, we prefer to make this an UNDER 52 wager on teaser totals. Unless Blake Bortles is as good as last week or reverts to his pick-six days, Jacksonville figures to score 13-20 points. Though the Jaguars defense had problems with Big Ben last week, chances are it will make adjustments and at worse permit no more than 28 points. This all leads to an UNDER bet, and this supports it. Play UNDER on a 6-point UNDER teaser total with a team like New England after three or more wins with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season: 116-22, 84.1%, L5Y.

New England From -8 to -2 vs. Jacksonville

There does not appear any reason to make too much out of Tom Brady jamming his hand in practice Wednesday. The only real benefit is to those of us who bet teasers, getting down from a favorite number of eight. This (you know the drill) takes us through the key numbers of 3, 6 and 7 on the Patriots, close to the point where we just have to win the game. Here is one other comforting aspect of backing New England; it is 36-5 against a teaser line after allowing 17 points or fewer in three straight games.

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Minnesota/Philadelphia UNDER Teaser

For teaser numbers, OVER 33 was certainly tempting, but when push came to shove UNDER 45 made the most sense in my opinion. What chased me off is the possibility of 17-13 outcome, which is not out of line. Unless Case Keenum has another miracle up his sleeve, the worst-case scenario would seem to be a 24-20 final score. Lastly, Minnesota fits the same total teaser system that New England does above.

Philadelphia From +3 to +9 vs. Minnesota

The value in this teaser is with Philadelphia passing through key numbers. Both teams will supply excellent defense and rely on the running game. Neither quarterback is a dynamic performer, though both can generate big plays; however, in a game like this those might lead to points, not necessarily touchdowns. Though Carson Wentz did most of the work, the Eagles are 14-0 in teasers this season on grass fields, with Nick Foles picking up the past three victories.

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