Sunday is the final day of the NFL's regular season. If you have been a loyal follower or came across us in the last month, we thank you and hope you have been able to cash in.
Last week the gambling gods finally said, "Enough already," and we hit only one two-team teaser. That was our worst showing in 11 weeks for NFL picks on teasers, leaving us at still-sensational 37-7 recently and 44-12 for the season.
When looking at the NFL odds weekly, being able to extrapolate a profit is the first goal. And if you can do better than normal, you are in limited company. This season we did that and quite a bit more in teasers, and we hope you learned a new betting skill.
Here are this week's selections.Detroit Taken From -6 to Pick vs. Green Bay
Detroit blew its chance to keep its playoff hopes alive with a dull performance in Cincinnati last week. That means no postseason for the Lions. However, a victory over depleted Green Bay is more than possible. Taking this game down where we just need Detroit to emerge victorious is not too much to ask when we have a Matthew Stafford vs. Brent Hundley quarterback matchup. Also, the Lions are a perfect 14-0 at home in the second half of the season on teasers.Carolina/Atlanta Under 51 Teaser
The stakes are high for these NFC South rivals. The defending NFC champion Falcons have to win to return to playoffs, while the Panthers are now a five-seed but could move up with a victory, depending on other outcomes. Though both teams had high-scoring games this season, the fact is the average score for each team is under 44 total points. Both defenses are more than capable of limiting their opponent, and here is one more reason for taking this teaser from 45 to 51 points: On a teaser line, when a team (Carolina) has won three or more straight times, has a winning record and is playing another winning team in the second half of the season, they are 112-21 under for teaser totals.L.A. Chargers Taken From -8 to -2 vs. Oakland
This is always one of my favorite teaser plays, being able to take a favorite through a trio of key numbers such as 3, 6 and 7. This is what we are doing with the Chargers, who have dim playoff hopes. However, if L.A. South loses, those hopes are extinguished, making this a contest they have to win, and we have seen how clutch Oakland has played this season. It is worth noting on the regular spread, when a team such as the Chargers did not commit a turnover in last outing and they face an opponent that was -3 or worse on turnovers, they have won by 12.6 PPG the past 10 seasons.Seattle Taken From -9 to -3 vs. Arizona
Seattle has to win and hope Atlanta falters to make the playoffs. Do not expect Arizona to go meekly, as they have kept playing, which is why lowering the Seahawks to this level makes sense. No question the game means more for Seattle QB Russell Wilson and his crew, and taking this down to a three-point game places us in a much better situation. Besides, the Cardinals having lost by more than eight points a game after surrendering nine or fewer points.