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Top 5 NFL Picks for Week 12: ATS, Moneyline & Totals

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Top 5 NFL Picks for Week 12: ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Top 5 NFL Week 12 Picks

Le’s Fab 5 NFL Record: 15-15

Le’s Platinum Picks: 4-2

Detroit Lions (3-6-1 SU, 4-6 ATS) vs. Washington Redskins (1-9 SU, 3-7 ATS)

Sunday, November 24th, 1:00 PM ET at FedEx Field

We turn to the nation’s capital for our first pick of the week as we see the Redskins getting 3 ½ points at home against the Lions. I know, it’s tough to bet Washington because they have been pretty bad this season but did you take a look at the Lions without Matthew Stafford last week? It looks like Stafford will be sidelined again this week and as you know, there’s a world of difference between him and his not so capable backup, Jeff Driskel.

On the other hand, Washington’s current quarterback, rookie Dwayne Haskins, will have a much better time of it this week than he did against the Jets last week. He won’t be counted upon to throw so often as the Lions’ run defense is porous compared to the No. 1 run-stop unit of the Jets. That will give him time to find his targets against a weak Detroit secondary. This is a pick your poison kind of matchup but I’ll gladly take 3 ½ points with the home team against an opponent that looks like it’s getting worse week after week. Bet the Redskins +3 ½ in your NFL picks at Sportsbook Review.

  • Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 12.
  • Redskins are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Lions are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 12.
  • Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up loss.
  • Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss.

Free NFL Pick: Redskins +3 (+105) at

Full Game Preview: Lions vs. Redskins

Denver Broncos (3-7 SU, 6-4 ATS) vs. Buffalo Bills (7-3 SU, 6-3-1 ATS)

Sunday, November 24th, 1:00 PM ET at New Era Field

The Denver Broncos travel to Buffalo to take on the Bills and if you look at these teams, there really isn’t much separating the two. Both have outstanding defenses while their offenses are usually stuck in neutral. Buffalo has a much better record by virtue of the fact that they’ve played much weaker competition. The NFL odds have already reflected a shift down from 5 ½ to 4 in the early betting which means the sharps know a good thing when they see it but I’m still not budging even though we’re only getting +4 with Denver.

I think as we draw closer to gameday the public might drive that number up a bit because they will be thinking about Buffalo’s quarterback Josh Allen and his three-touchdown passing performance last week without taking a sack for the first time all season. Well, he played the Dolphins and that’s all you need to know. I expect Denver running back Phillip Lindsay will be the gamechanger in this one and will gash Buffalo’s 18th ranked run defense. I don’t expect much scoring but wouldn’t be surprised if Denver got the upset. Back the Broncos +4 at .

  • Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
  • Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Bills are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Free NFL Pick: Broncos +4 (-108) at

Full Game Preview: Broncos vs. Bills

New York Giants (2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS) vs Chicago Bears (4-6 SU, 3-7 ATS)

Sunday, November 24th, 1:00 PM ET at Soldier Field

The Giants are getting six points against the Bears at Soldier Field this week and Chicago’s man under center, Mitchell Trubisky, is likely out with a hip pointer which means Chase Daniels will be starting in his place. Neither quarterback scares me and the Giants’ pass rush should be able to generate some serious pressure against a Chicago offensive line that has regressed quite a bit from last year. This six-point line looks too tempting not to take the plunge on a live road dog, even one with a 2-8 record like New York.

It looks like Big Blue will welcome back wideout Sterling Shepard and tight end Evan Engram back to their offense, which bodes well for Golden Tate to find some room to roam. But Chicago’s pass defense is among the best which means Saquon Barkley will get plenty of reps and should be able to move the chains against a Bears run-stop unit that hasn’t been quite the same since Akiem Hicks got injured. Look, the Bears score an average of 16 points per game at home and could be looking ahead to their Thanksgiving showdown against a divisional rival in Detroit. The Giants keep it close and get the cover. Bet New York +6 at .

  • Giants are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
  • Giants are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.
  • Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight-up loss.
  • Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Free NFL Pick: Giants +6 (-110) at

Full Game Preview: Giants vs. Bears

Oakland Raiders (6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS) vs New York Jets (3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS)

Sunday, November 24th, 1:00 PM ET at MetLife Stadium

Let’s take a look at the other team from New York and put our money on the Jets +3 at home against the Raiders. If you watched the Jets the last few weeks then you know their offense has looked much better, putting up 34 points against the Giants and then the same against the Redskins last week. While it’s true both of those teams are going nowhere fast, the fact is, the Jets won big in both games while the Raiders struggled in their 17-10 victory last week against the worst team in the league, the Cincinnati Bengals.

The Raiders’ secondary is dinged up and I expect Sam Darnold to keep his mojo rolling. He will have a big passing day and this one could be a shootout, but in the end, the Jets will not only get the cover but upset an Oakland team that has a huge game looming against the Chiefs at Arrowhead next week.

  • Jets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Jets are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Raiders are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.

Free NFL Pick: Jets +3 (-119) at

Full Game Preview: Raiders vs. Jets

Miami Dolphins (2-8 SU, 5-5 ATS) vs Cleveland Browns (4-6 SU, 3-6-1 ATS)

Sunday, November 24th, 1:00 PM ET at FirstEnergy Stadium

Let’s take a trip to Cleveland for our Platinum Pick of the Week where I feel like I must be operating in a parallel universe because I’m actually very high on betting the Browns – laying double digits! But before you roll your eyes, understand that Cleveland is playing the Miami Dolphins with FitzMagic poised to turn into FitzTragic as he always does. Yes, Ryan Fitzpatrick the journeyman quarterback who always seems to wind up in the starting role at some point in the season but if history teaches us anything, we know that his on-field wizardry has an expiration date and that date is November 24th when he travels to Cleveland accompanied by a lousy offense and a defense that might be worse.

Miami is 31st in the league in scoring, averaging 13.7 points per game, 28th in rushing, and dead last in passing yards. The defense won’t give you any reason to back them here because the Fish are 31st in scoring defense, surrendering 30.7 points per game, 31st in rushing yards allowed and in the lower third defending the pass.

They’re a mess and they’re playing a team in the Browns that looked like they might be getting their act together after beating the Steelers 21-7 last week. Nick Chubb should roll over this Miami defensive front and Baker Mayfield will be launching early and often to OBJ or Jarvis Landry. Of course, the Browns will be without standout Myles Garrett following his suspension last week but I don’t think they’ll need him to contain this Dolphins’ offense. Bet the Browns -10 ½ at Bookmaker.

Free NFL Platinum Pick of the Week: Browns -10 ½ (-110) at

Read our Week 12 NFL Totals Picks