Risky Wild-Card Business: Stay Away From Eagles-Bears Total And

profile image of Swinging.Johnson
Risky Wild-Card Business: Stay Away From Eagles-Bears Total And

Philadelphia (6-9-1 O/U) at Chicago (8-8 O/U)

Sunday, 4:40 p.m. ET (NBC)

If You Must Bet: Bears ATS

Best Line Offered: BetOnline

The NFL odds board is reflecting the total on this game at 41 across the board, and I wouldn’t touch that total with your money. The Bears have the best defense in the league and the No. 1 run-stop unit, which means Nick Foles will have to take to the air. That could prove to be a dicey proposition as the Bears lead the league in interceptions with 27 and are among the team sack leaders with 50. That would suggest a low-scoring game but Foles will throw picks, so Chicago could be getting the ball in Philly territory, thus, a good chance they will turn those mistakes into points. Philadelphia will get garbage-time points as well, so we will stay away from the total and back the Bears.

Final score prediction: Bears 28, Eagles 13

Indianapolis (10-6 SU, 8-7-1 ATS) at Houston (11-5 SU, 7-6-3 ATS)

Saturday, 4:35 p.m. ET (ESPN and ABC)

If You Must Bet: ‘Under’

Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

The public is all over the red-hot Colts, but Houston should not be underestimated. This one is a coin flip in my estimation and should go down to the wire. However, a tough Texans defense coupled with a vastly improved Colts defensive unit should manifest into a defensive grind. Houston has home-field advantage and is 6-2 straight up but just 4-3-1 ATS, and the Colts are rampaging. The total on this is in the upper 40s and that gives us plenty of room to go low in our NFL picks.

Final score prediction: Texans 21, Colts 20

Seattle (10-6 SU, 9-5-2 ATS) at Dallas (10-6 SU, 8-6-2)

Saturday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Fox)

If You Must Bet: ‘Over’

Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

If you feel strongly about one side or the other, then you have a better bead on this game than I do. Both teams were victorious down the homestretch, with the Seahawks winning six of their last seven straight up (4-2-1 ATS) and Dallas notching seven wins in their last eight outings (6-1-1 ATS). It’s hard to predict who has the advantage but we do know that Cowboys QB Dak Prescott is coming off his best performance of the season with four passing TDs over the Giants in Week 17, while the Seahawks struggled to get by the Cardinals as 14-point home chalk. What we do know is that both offenses are clicking and that looks like an “over” play to us.

Final score prediction: Cowboys 27, Seahawks 25

Los Angeles Chargers (8-8 O/U) at Baltimore (7-9-1 O/U)

Sunday, 1:05 p.m. ET (CBS)

If You Must Bet: Chargers ATS

Best Line Offered: YouWager

This total make us skittish as these teams just met a few weeks ago and Baltimore’s defense suffocated the Bolts aerial attack in Los Angeles, resulting in a 22-10 victory. This total is on the low 40s and we could see this going either way. The Chargers are 7-1 straight up and against the number on the road, so being away from home is a gift, not a curse. Furthermore, Chargers QB Philip Rivers will not be held to less than 200 yards as he was last time around. The Chargers will be up for this game after watching the tape of perhaps their worst game of the season. The Baltimore defense is among the best but so too is the explosive L.A. offense. The total is a mystery to me, but grabbing the points with the best road team in the NFL looks like the sharp side to me.

Final score prediction: Chargers 21, Ravens 20