Tennessee Titans vs. Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, September 27, 2020 – 1:00pm EST U.S. Bank Stadium
The Minnesota Vikings are everyone’s underdog selection for this week. Hold your horses…
The Vikings have allowed 35.5 points per game this season and 443.5 yards from the opposition per week. The team is allowing 65 percent of drives to be scoring drives and have only turned the ball over in five percent of their drives on defense.
The defense has also allowed five touchdowns and have just one interception along with plenty of penalties early. The Vikings are currently allowing 6.1 yards per play on defense, which is one of the worst rates in football this season.
Quarterback Kirk Cousins already has four interceptions in two games along with just two touchdowns. In two games, he’s thrown for 372 yards. Josh Allen of the Bills had 400 yards in a game. I’m just saying.
Plus, Cousins hasn’t even been blitzed. The Vikings have been blitzed eight times when passing. Defenses are just staying back and waiting patiently for a Cousins mistake.
The Titans will absolutely blitz more as they’ve sent the blitz nearly 35 percent this season in the first two games. You’d expect the Vikings to get Dalvin Cook more involved in the offense as he has just 26 carries for 113 yards in two games. Sure, he has three touchdowns, but maybe it’s better off handing him the ball instead of letting Cousins throw interceptions.
Just a thought.
Stefon Diggs is making a name for himself in Buffalo after the Vikings let Diggs go. He was supposedly the reason why the Vikings offense wasn’t very good. Have we changed our minds yet? A running quarterback in Josh Allen leads the league in passing yards.
Diggs wasn’t the problem.
Anyway, the Titans addressed their problems last season and started Ryan Tannehill over Marcus Mariota finally. Now Mariota is with the Raiders and the Titans have their guy in Tannehill, who took the team to the AFC Championship last season.
After the season was over, looking at futures, there was a pullback on the Titans. Some said the Titans were a fluke while many more were intrigued by what the Colts had to offer.
The Titans are now 2-0 on the season after defeating Denver on the road and the new and improved Jaguars offense at home. But still, they’re just small favorites via NFL odds. Both of their games have been tight to the finish but the team is finding ways to win while the Vikings aren’t even close.
Ryan Tannehill has thrown for 488 yards and six touchdowns while Derrick Henry has 200 rushing yards off 56 carries. This team doesn’t mind rushing but when the passing game opens up, Tannehill has been able to throw into the endzone frequently. Tannehill has a solid receiving group with A.J. Brown and Corey Davis along with his tight end Jonnu Smith.
Tannehill will rarely make mistakes and he gets to face a Vikings team that has allowed 35.5 points per game this season. The Titans defense hasn’t been that much better in terms of yardage allowed. The Titans allowed 413.5 yards per game this season while the Vikings have allowed 443.5 yards on offense.
But think about the field position. If Cousins makes mistakes, the Titans will get the ball midfield to start drives. If the Titans fail on their drive, they’ll punt it away and force the Vikings to start a long drive that they won’t be able to complete.
Again, the Titans have run the ball 68 times in two games, which is the third-highest in the league this season. They’ll feed Henry as much as they can against a Vikings rushing defense that has allowed 154.5 yards on the ground per game this season.
The Vikings commit turnovers on offense and don’t get stops on defense. Yet, everyone still believes in this team to get an upset win. They didn’t fare well as small underdogs against the Colts and won’t fare well against the Titans in this one.
The sportsbooks are fooling the public. The Vikings have looked miserable all season. We’re talking about a Titans group that continues to win under pressure. The team wins close games and limits turnovers to do it. The Titans have forced turnovers in 15 percent of drives this season. That will continue against Cousins as long as they choose to throw the ball more than rush.
Don’t worry about the NFL odds and their spread. Just take the moneyline with the Titans as they look to go 3-0 on the season. This team is 2-0 and facing an 0-2 team and just small favorites? I’ll take it.
NFL Pick: Titans at (-140) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)