Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens
Sunday, November 22, 2020 – 1:00 PM ET at M&T Bank Stadium
Can the Titans Go Back to the Top of the South?
The Titans come into this one sitting second in the AFC South behind the Colts on head-to-head record only. Indianapolis has a tough test against the Green Bay Packers, so the Titans will know that they have a good chance of moving up in the standings should they get the win against a stumbling Baltimore team, who they match up quite well against. The top betting sites have the Titans around +105 to win their division.
It will have been 10 days since Tennessee lost to the Colts on Thursday night which gives them the extended rest, whereas the Ravens played Sunday night. It gives them a little more time to plan how to stop Baltimore's running game, which hasn’t been up to the standard of last year but has still been significant for them this season.
The Titans will probably look to use the same tactics they used to beat the Ravens in the wildcard game last season. They contained Lamar Jackson and made him throw the ball, something he wasn’t great at then and he’s not proven to me that he can do it this season either. If the Titans get ahead they’ll look to run Derrick Henry 25+ times as they have done in most of their wins. Henry comes into this one looking to make it 4 games in a row against AFC North opposition with 75+ yards and a TD.
Tennessee's lack of pass rush is the main thing that lets them down most weeks, with their sack leader having 2.5 after 9 games, so you know they are struggling. Offensively they can cause some damage, defensively I don’t think they can.
Will the Ravens Halt Their Poor Run?
I’ll be honest, I didn’t see any way for the Patriots to win their Sunday night game against the Ravens. The Ravens run game looked too good and I wasn’t sure how the Patriots were going to put up points against a stout Ravens defense, but in the end, it was a solid win for New England and a disappointing loss for the Ravens. Especially after seeing the Steelers win again earlier in the day, leaving them at around +550 at NFL odds sites for the AFC North crown.
It was their second loss in 3 games with a comfortable win against the Colts sandwiched in the middle, and it accentuated some of the discontent that seems to be creeping into Baltimore this year. Marquise Brown complained about not being used, then dropped a catch. Lamar Jackson appeared on a show saying teams are calling their plays at the line of scrimmage, so things aren’t comfortable around the squad at the moment.
I have a feeling that none of that will really matter here, since they are without Ronnie Stanley and their best blocking tight end in Nick Boyle. His absence might hurt their run game a little, but the complete lack of pressure from the Titans pass rush will give them time, and Tennessee's 19th ranked rush defense probably won’t be good enough to slow the Ravens all game.
Will History Repeat Itself With a Titans Win?
I doubt it. I don’t see the Ravens losing two games in a row and they will come into this one extra motivated after losing to the Titans in the playoffs last year and being embarrassed in primetime last weekend.
The Ravens beat the Colts by 17 points a couple of weeks ago. I think they’re a better defensive team than the Titans, so it might be a little higher scoring than their previous game but I don’t think they can hang with the Ravens in this one. With the spread now dropping, I’ll take anything under a TD on them.
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