Titans vs. Broncos: Week 1 NFL Monday Night Football Picks and Predictions

Titans vs. Broncos: Week 1 NFL Monday Night Football Picks and Predictions

The final game of the 2020 Week 1 slate should be a great opportunity for profit as the Broncos play host to the Titans. NFL oddsmakers have the Broncos as +2 ½ home underdogs, with a total of just 41 points. 

Tennessee Titans vs. Denver Broncos

Monday, September 14, 2020 – 10:20 PM EDT at Empower Field at Mile High

Broncos’ Injury Concerns

Considering these NFL odds have been out for several months, bettors have had a long time to react to injuries, matchups and news. It’s one of the unique parts of betting on Week 1’s in the NFL and with how many injuries the Broncos have suffered over the course of the preseason period, these odds have shifted a ton. When they opened back in the summer, the Broncos were favorites by -2 ½. Now a five-point shift has taken place in favor of the Titans and it’s for good reason. 

The most recent injury to the Broncos is a huge blow to their offense. Courtland Sutton went down with an AC joint sprain and considering the injury just happened in practice on Thursday, it’s going to be dicey if Sutton is able to suit up for Week 1. 

Sutton is coming off a nice breakout season with over 1100 yards and six touchdowns. Luckily the Broncos have an extra day this week to prepare because of playing on Monday, but if Sutton is out for the game, the Broncos’ pass attack takes a huge downgrade. Rookie Jerry Jeudy would step into a much heavier role if Sutton can’t play. Sutton didn’t practice on Friday, so if he sits out of Saturday’s practice, that is a pretty good indication to me that he won’t play Monday. 

Add in the fact that their best defensive player, Von Miller might miss the entire season after having surgery and the Broncos definitely don’t look as good ATS as they did back in the summer. However, they are still at home and underdogs, and they still have a chance of winning this one under the right circumstances, especially if they can draw first blood against this run-heavy team. 

The Sharp Pick

One thing Denver has going for them in this game is their record of winning home openers. Denver has won seven straight games when they open up at home in Week 1 and if Sutton isn’t available for Drew Lock to throw to, that could really put that streak in jeopardy.  That being said, Denver is 28-6-1 SU all-time in Week 1 home openers, so the pedigree is there despite being down potentially their best player on each side of the ball. 

Tennessee is going to try and control the clock with Derrick Henry, so a hot start could be in order for the Broncos in this one. The Titans are at their best when they strike first and can run the ball and force their opponents to play to their style. 

That being said, I think the Broncos will still come out hot at home and because of the line movement due to the Miller injury, we have an open spot here to bet on the Broncos early with our NFL picksI do think they can win the game, but a safer play may be the first quarter or first half. The Titans ranked only 23rd in the NFL last season in first half points, so on the road, in altitude, and after not having any preseason games may not be kind to them on either side of the ball. 

I know a lot of people are banking on points this week in the NFL, but in this game in particular, if the Broncos’ offense can strike first and their defense can hold fast without their best player, I could see the Broncos being ahead at the half. With a total of only 41 points, the difference in this one may be an early field goal or TD.

Right now, the Broncos’ NFL odds for the first half are +2 at some shops with a moneyline upwards of +120 and I’m going to have a taste of both. I’m not buying the steam going in favor of the road team this far. 

My Picks: Broncos 1st half +2 (-117) and Broncos 1st half +120 at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)

Broncos 1st half +2(-117)
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