Titans +10 vs. Ravens for Week 10 NFL Picks

Jason Lake

Wednesday, November 5, 2014 9:59 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 5, 2014 9:59 PM UTC

The Baltimore Ravens suffered an epic meltdown Sunday night in Pittsburgh. They’ll have to do better than that against a Tennessee Titans team that’s getting 10 points on the Week 10 NFL odds board.

Jason’s record after Week 8: 24-33 ATS, 9-12-1 Totals

Profit: minus-29.93 units

You can have your uniform back, Joe. We were on the Baltimore Ravens for Sunday night’s game against the Pittsburgh Steelers, but we should have checked on the halftime entertainment first. Mean Joe Greene had his No. 75 retired for the Steelers (–2.5 at home), who went on an inspired tear and beat their bitter rivals 43-23. James Harrison even turned back the clock with a pair of sacks to make us look extra-foolish. Maybe Troy Polamalu can come out of retirement too. What’s that? He’s still playing? Oh.

We’re not seeing any ceremonies of note when the Ravens host the Tennessee Titans this Sunday (1:00 p.m. ET, CBS), but if they suddenly decide to hold another Ray Lewis Appreciation Day, don’t be surprised. Maybe they wouldn’t want to waste that inspiration on the Titans, though Tennessee is in big trouble at 2-6 SU and 2-5-1 ATS. The Week 10 NFL odds have Baltimore laying anywhere from 9.5 to 10.5 points at varying levels of vig.

The Two Jakes
We had such high hopes for the Titans, that they even didn’t make our Top 5 undervalued teams for 2014. With Tennessee having a new and somewhat respected head coach, Ken Whisenhunt, and QB Jake Locker (86.7 passer rating last year) looking to make the leap in his third year as the starter just If he manage to stay healthy.

Apparently, “Jake Locker” and “healthy” are antonyms. He’s been saddled with wrist and thumb injuries this year and hasn’t played since Week 5, leaving Whisenhunt in pretty much the same position he had when the Arizona Cardinals fired him two years ago. Will he put Locker back in the saddle? Is he going to start Charlie Whitehurst again? Or will he roll the dice with third-stringer Zach Mettenberger and pray for a brighter future?

At least for this week, the answer is Mettenberger. The sixth-round pick out of LSU will make his second career NFL start, after playing reasonably well in Week 8, when the Titans lost 30-16 to the Houston Texans (–3.5 at home). This is essentially an audition for Mettenberger to see if he’s got enough jam to be the starter next seasson; If not, they’ll presumably draft one, and at this rate, it’ll be another high first-round pick.

Flacco on His Back-O
Maybe someone more durable than Locker will be available this time. In 2011, the Titans took Locker No. 8 overall, after Cam Newton went No. 1 to the Carolina Panthers. Was it a bad pick? Not when the other QBs who went in the first round was Blaine Gabbert (No. 10) and Christian Ponder (No. 12). Then again, sometimes you get lucky in the second round (Andy Dalton, Colin Kaepernick). It’s a crapshoot folks.

The Ravens (5-4 SU, 4-4-1 ATS) did pretty well the last time they drafted a quarterback in the first round. Joe Flacco (No. 18 overall, 2008) was the second QB taken after the Atlanta Falcons grabbed Matt Ryan No. 3 overall, and Flacco turned out all right. He’s got a 90.7 passer rating this year with 16 touchdown throws and eight INTs after nine games. Flacco also has a lot more talent around him than Mettenberger does. But we’re still going to add the Titans to our Week 10 NFL picks. They’re double-digit dogs coming off a bye week, and they’re playing a Baltimore team that just saw the Steelers with Flacco going through the blender. On frappé.


The Five Stars
Injuries/Suspensions/Travel/Rest: TEN
Defense/Special Teams: BAL
Coaching: BAL
Market Bias: TEN
Betting Line Value: TEN

Verdict: 1-star pick on TEN

Free NFL Pick: Bet 1.4 units on the Titans +10 at BetUS

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