Thursday Night NFL Prop Picks for Week 6 Betting

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, October 9, 2014 1:27 PM GMT

We are approaching the kick off for Thursday Night Football, and there are some really nice prop NFL Odds available. I have chosen three from bet365 sportsbook, and all three are worthy of an add to your NFL Picks. 

TY Hilton O/U 74 ½ Receiving Yards
TY Hilton has been shaking off a rough start to the season over the last three weeks, and it seems as if the Colts’ number one receiver from last year is back to speed. Tonight bet365 has his over/under for receiving yards set at 74 ½, and the over looks like it’s where you should go with your NFL Picks. Hilton and the Colts should have little trouble beating this Texans secondary. The Texans are giving up over 250 passing yards per game, and they have given up the 10th most yards to opposing receivers this season. Hilton has now gone 80 or more yards in three straight games, including two weeks ago where he went for more than 100 yards. On a short week, the Texans’ defense might be a bit tired coming off of a long and tough game against the Cowboys. Hilton should be able to break free for a big play, and it might be what sends him over this total.

NFL Pick: OVER 74 ½ receiving yards (-125)

 

Race to 20 points
Between the Texans and Colts, both teams have solid offenses, and with the news that Arian Foster is probable for this game, it gives the Texans a lot better chance of winning or covering this game. However the Colts’ rushing defense has been one of their most improved areas from last season, ranking 12th in the NFL. They are giving up just over 100 yards per game, but that won’t help them much here. In the race to the points, the Colts hold all of the NFL Odds value. If they can continue to play balanced and strong defense, it’s just a matter of time before the Colts jump ahead and beat out the Texans in the race. Houston might not even score 20 points tonight, but either way, Indianapolis has won the race to 20 points in four games in a row.

NFL Pick: Colts (-105)

 

Texans Team Total O/U 22 ½
If you take a look the trends being established so far through the first four true weeks of Thursday Night Football, there are some noticeable things being established. First of all, the last four games on Thursday night have been horrible games. They were all blowouts, and some of them were decides by more than 30 points. One team has always dominated with the other team staying in the teens or below. This could happen once again tonight with the Colts and Texans, and if it does, you have to think the Texans are going to be the ones getting dominated. That would lead to their team total having great NFL Odds value for the under. The Texans’ offense is only averaging 211 passing yards per game through the first five games of the season, and with them going up against the best passing offense in the NFL, I see their team total falling under. I see this final score ending up around 28-21.

NFL Pick: Texans UNDER 22 ½ (-120)