Thursday Night NFL Picks: Cardinals-Rams Prop Betting Guide

Jordan Sharp

Thursday, December 11, 2014 1:38 PM UTC

Thursday, Dec. 11, 2014 1:38 PM UTC

Even though there are three weeks of the NFL regular season left, there are only two Thursday Night Football games left. So, since this is one of my final prop NFL Odds plays of the regular season.

Drew Stanton O/U 235.5 passing yards
I know what you’re thinking, “Drew Stanton, you have been bashing him and the Cardinals’ offense for weeks!” Your thoughts are valid, and you’d think that I am all over the under on this play. However you would be far from reality. Stanton has played as solidly as you’d expect from a backup quarterback. In three of the last four weeks, Stanton would have cashed the over with these prop NFL Odds, and in two of the last four weeks, he has 600 yards passing. On a shorter week in St. Louis’ dome, the Cards’ passing offense should have a pretty good week, and with a low passing yards total, Stanton’s chances of going over are high. With the price sitting at -110, the value is also with the over.

Free NFL Props Pick: Stanton OVER 235.5 passing yards (-110)

NFL Betting: Cardinals vs. Rams ATS Picks

O/U 5.5 Sacks
This is probably my favorite prop of the night, and between these two teams, the storm is almost perfect to add the over to your NFL Picks. At only 5.5 sacks, this prop could potentially cash in three quarters. No matter who is playing quarterback for the Rams this season, a common theme has been them getting sacks. Rams quarterbacks have been sacked 39 times this season, which is more than most of the league. Not only have they given up a ton of sacks this season, but they are sacking QBs too. The Rams currently rank 7th in the NFL in sacks this season, and while the Cards don’t give up a ton of sacks, against one of the better defensive lines in football, I expect them to give up at least two or three. Robert Quinn already has 10.5 sacks, and against a tired offensive line that just went against a tough Chiefs defense, I expect the over to cash. Stanton was sacked twice last week and the Cardinals sacked Alex Smith five times. The Rams and Redskins accounted for ten combined sacks last week in their game, and it just adds to the value on the over.

Free NFL Props Pick: OVER 5.5 sacks (-115)

NFL Betting: Cardinals vs. Rams Over/Under Picks

Race to 10 points
The Rams are probably the play tonight ATS in the NFL Odds. They are constantly undervalued, while the Cards’ inconsistencies bring doubt to the mind. However to get off to a hot start, I like the Cards tonight on a short week.  Even though the Rams have won the race to ten points in three of their last four games, two of those games were against very poor teams. However the biggest reason I like this play tonight is the value. While the Rams have a ton of chalk to get to 10 points first, the Cardinals are sitting at +130, and if they can beat the Rams defense a couple times early on, I see Arizona getting to ten points first. If that isn’t enough, the Cardinals need this win. They face both the Seahawks and the 49ers to close out the season, and losing this game would put them dangerously close to collapsing late in the season. I see them coming out strong.

Free NFL Props Pick: Cardinals 1st to 10 points (+130)

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