Does the public have it right or should you fade the public and shade the Titans on your NFL picks? Find out as we examine this battle of 2-11 SU teams and serve up our best bets for Thursday Night Primetime Football betting.
The Battle of 2-11 Teams
When NFL schedulers looked ahead to week 16 NFL betting and decided to set the AFC South billing between the Titans and Jaguars in the Thursday Primetime slot, they probably didn't expect it to be a lacklustre clash between 2-11 SU teams that would hold very little viewing appeal to the general NFL audience. Nevertheless, it's the matchup to kick off week 16's bill of fare and as far as NFL betting goes, happily there are angles for profit to be had.
Tennessee Titans (2-11 SU, 1-6 away)
In the battle of inept vs. inept, the Titans emerge worse off. The Titans have ushered in a new nadir of utter ineptness that if the NFL had the equivalent of the Golden Raspberry Awards the Titans would be symbolically recognised for their awfulness this season.
Titans are riding an eight-game losing streak ahead of their clash with the Jaguars, the longest active losing streak currently in the game. The worst bit: they are losing to all sorts of teams, from heavyweights to middleweights and lightweights, the Titans offer no joy for their NFL backers, the few remaining poor sods.
The even worse bit: they are losing abysmally in just about every game by double-digits. Overall, they've been outscored 231-to-390 for a minus 159-point differential or an average 11.35-point margin of defeat. Against the spread, they are 3-10-1 on the season, and 2-5 ATS on the road with a 13.3-point margin of defeat. Adding to their woes is the quarterback carousel with Jake Locker and Zach Mettenberger, both out with shoulder injuries. This leaves them with their last option, Charlie Whitehurst who's not exactly a bag full of tricks.
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-11 SU, 2-5 home)
By the numbers, the Jacksonville Jaguars are just as bad as the Titans with a 2-11 SU record on the season. Somehow, they just don't feel as bad as the Titans though, especially in the latter half of the season.
The Jaguars got off to an abysmal in their first two games behind Chad Henne as both the Eagles an Redskins blew them off the field. The beginning of the Blake Bortles era in week 3 continued this rather alarming trend for the subsequent two weeks, but since week 5 NFL betting the Jaguars have played a whole lot better if still continuing to lose games. Most recently, they lost respectably to the Ravens 20-12 all while Blake Bortles played with a sprained foot. Overall, the Jags have been outscored 211-to-376 for a minus 165-point differential or an 11.79-point margin of defeat.
NFL Betting Verdict:
Betting on this game is a case of picking the lesser of two bad teams. By the numbers, there seems to be no distinction. It's found in the way these two teams are playing, how hard they are trying on the field and how respectably they are conducting themselves during the proceedings. On that score, the Jaguars emerge as the more attractive option for your NFL picks. They also happen to be the bookmakers favorites on the NFL odds board as the 3-point home favorites against the spread and the -165 favorites to win straight up. Color the world shocked if the Titans, all of a sudden, find some gumption and win this game outright. If Bortles is fit to play and the Jags continue their gutsy ways, they should clinch their third win of the season.
NFL Free Picks: Jaguars -165 and -3.0