The NFL season is winding down, and to squeeze every last drop of value out of the regular season, I am back to release my three favorite Thursday Night Football props. These NFL Odds are all from bet365, and I think they all could be great NFL Picks.
Dez Bryant O/U 85.5 receiving yards
Dez Bryant has had a phenomenal season with the Cowboys this year, but last week when the Eagles shut down the Boys, Bryant had a pretty marginal game. However the four weeks before that, Dez was tearing through opposing secondaries, and against the Bears’ secondary this week, I have no doubt that he will tear though them. At only 85.5 yards, Bryant’s yards total is way too low for this game, as it should be a huge passing day for both quarterbacks. With the Bears down several members of their secondary since the season began, I doubt Tim Jennings or rookie, Kyle Fuller will be any match for one of the better receivers in the game. The Bears are giving up over 181 yards per game just to opposing receivers, which rank them at 6th most in the NFL. Look for Dez to cash our first prop for us.
Free NFL Props Pick: Bryant OVER 85.5 receiving yards (-120)
DeMarco Murray O/U 118.5 rush yards
Murray is going to probably lead the league in rushing this season, and this prop is a pure example of what happens to your prop NFL odds when you can do that. Murray may have a big game against the Bears, but 118 yards is a lot, especially against a run defense that has been looking better. Chicago is currently ranked a respectable 10th in the NFL defending the run, (they rank 30th against the pass) which is leaps and bounds better than what they were a season ago as one of the most injured, and worst run defenses. However things seem to have changed, and the key for the Bears defense tonight will be shutting Murray down. The Bears have given up less than 100 yards rushing in a game for three straight weeks now, and I think they should hold Murray to less than the huge figure of 118.5.
Free NFL Props Pick: Murray UNDER 118.5 rush yards (-110)
Cowboys O/U 8.5 kicking points
While these two props above are still rally good, this one might be my favorite. The Cowboys and kicker, Dan Bailey have an over/under of 8.5 kicking points tonight, which is really high if you look at their recent trends. The Cowboys have been pretty efficient on offense this year, and it shows in their kicking numbers. Bailey has only kicked/made one field goal in each of his last six games, and it hasn’t been since Week 5 that he has attempted more than one field goal in a game. Sure he kicks a ton of extra points, (9 in their Cowboys’ last three games) but to get to over 8.5 kicking points tonight, he will have to break that trend. With the spotty Bears pass defense, I doubt Tony Romo and company has trouble getting into the end zone, and keeping Bailey to one-point attempts. Right now the NFL Odds for the under are sitting at+100, which is just too good for me to pass on.
Free NFL Props Pick: Cowboys UNDER 8.5 kicking points (+100)