Thursday Night Football Parlay: Broncos vs. Jets

Thursday Night Football Parlay: Broncos vs. Jets
Jeff Driskel #9 of the Denver Broncos. Matthew Stockman/Getty Images/AFP

This week’s edition of Thursday Night Football features two teams that have not won a game yet this season. Someone has to win but the question is, where is the value in this game? We’ll take a look at the spread and total here and see if we can make this game a little more interesting by cashing in on a parlay.

Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets

Thursday, October 01, 2020 – 08:20 PM EDT at MetLife Stadium

Somebody Has to Win This Game

These are two of the worst teams in the NFL albeit for different reasons. The Denver Broncos have been decimated by injuries on both sides of the ball to the point that they will have a hard time winning games this season. The New York Jets on the other hand are just a bad football team headed in the wrong direction which is really nothing new for them in all honesty. With that in mind, they're still the underdogs on the NFL odds board in this game despite the fact that Denver is missing a ton of their best players.

If you are wondering how can a relatively healthy Jets team still be underdogs against a Denver team missing their best play (Von Miller), their starting quarterback and top wide receiver amongst others, then you still haven't seen the Jets play. Through three games, the Jets have been outscored 94-37 by their opponents. Nothing seems to be working for the Jets at the moment which is not what you want to hear considering last year they started 1-7 under Adam Gase. There was a reason for their struggles last year but this season it's looking bleak. If Adam Gase wasn't on the hot season before, he has to be at this point.

The line for this game opened at -2.5 at most of the top online betting sites with the market settled around 3 with a few 2.5's still available. The truth is, the betting public has seen the same thing as bookmakers, the Jets look like an unorganized, unprepared bunch that is devoid of top tier talent. Personally, laying points with the Jets is just impossible for me so it's Broncos or nothing here. Bovada has the moneyline for this game at -165 which is what I'm taking here with my NFL picks.

This Total Tells Its Own Story

The total for this game is 40 which seems extremely low for the way football is played today. What that number tells you is that bookmakers just don't know what to make of these two teams. It should be expected that the Broncos are going to run the ball a ton even though that isn't really the way to beat the Jets. Jeff Driskel should have an easier time of things on Thursday compared to what he saw from the Bucs on Sunday. The Bucs have some of the best linebackers in the league so a lot of that underneath stuff should be more available this week. Whatever the case, don't expect Driskel to take too many chances, even as bad as this Jest defense has been.

I'd love to think that this is the week that Sam Darnold bounces back but the Broncos defense is not bad, especially in the secondary. I do think Darnold gets way too much of the blame in New York for the simple fact that the team has done literally nothing to surround him with talent. All Darnold has to do is look within his own division at Josh Allen and all of the weapons Buffalo has brought in since he got drafted. It's not a coincidence that he's improved every year as the talent around him has gotten better.

Through three games, the Jets totals have been 36,44 and 43. As I mentioned earlier, the Jets have 37 points on the season so I'm not sure how we can bet the over considering the injury issues going on with Denver. I'm taking the Under 40 (-110) which is available at Bodog.

My Pick: Two-Team Parlay (Pays +206)

Broncos -165 and Broncos/Jets Over 40 (-110) at Bovada (Visit our Bovada Review)

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