Thursday Night Football Free Picks: Ravens vs. Steelers Week 4

David Lawrence

Tuesday, September 29, 2015 3:39 PM GMT

Tuesday, Sep. 29, 2015 3:39 PM GMT

These two AFC North rivals clash in Pittsburgh, where the Steelers have Michael Vick under center after Roethlisberger was hurt in their win over Rams. Should we trust Vick with our NFL picks? 

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open: PK -105 at Pinnacle
This NFL odds opened as a pick 'em as the books were obviously awaiting word on Roethlisberger, who suffered a sprained MCL. But it still went -1 to the Steelers, then -1.5, then a pick 'em, then -1.5 to the Ravens. It was bumped to -2.5 for the road team, then -3 before settling on -2.5 for the Ravens, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see this line move again before kick-off, so keep a close eye on it. Also, with Roethlisberger out, the total has dropped from 46.5 to 44.5.

Ravens vs. Steelers SU Pick

Ravens vs. Steelers ATS Pick

Ravens vs. Steelers Total Pick

Steelers Player Props

Ravens Player Props

Ravens vs. Steelers Spread

                           [/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837005, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]                           Ravens vs. Steelers Money Line

                        [/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837005, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]                         Ravens vs. Steelers Total

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837005, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,93,92,238,349], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Injuries
TE Crocket Gillmore has been a surprise for the Ravens this season, but a calf injury has him questionable for now. Other than that, it is just their ego that was hurt against Cincinnati, who threw on the Ravens at will.

It is obviously more serious for the Steelers as Roethlisberger is out for 4-to-6 weeks with his knee injury, and now the Steelers turn to Vick, who won't be asked to do a lot and he has Antonio Bryant and Le'Veon Bell, who ran for 62 yards and a score in his return from suspension. Another worry is LB Ryan Shazier, who missed Sunday's game with a weak shoulder and as their leading tackler, the Steelers would love to have him in their lineup on Thursday.

 

Trends
The Ravens tumbled down the NFL power rankings and have covered the spread in just two of their last eight games, while the Steelers are a stellar 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight, and they're excellent at home, covering in six of their last eight. Meanwhile, the Ravens have split their last 10 ATS on the road.

The games between these two are always tough and physical, and the Ravens have won six of the last 10 meetings SU, but the Steelers are 5-4-1 ATS in those games. In Pittsburgh, the Steelers have a slight edge with a 6-4 SU record, but both teams are 4-4-2 ATS as neither team wants to give an inch to the other. They've gone over the total five times and there have been two pushes as well.

***Follow the link to get all of the Week 4 NFL picks!***

comment here