Thursday Night Football Betting - Dolphins vs Bengals Week 4 Predictions

Miami Dolphins players celebrating

Doug Upstone

Monday, September 26, 2016 5:02 PM GMT

This Thursday night clash pertaining to betting NFL football has quite a bit of mystery as neither Miami or Cincinnati are where they hoped to be going into Week 4 of the season. Bengals seem like the way to go, however, after looking at trends Dolphins hold the betting edge in this one.

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals
Both these AFC teams are 1-2, though both have not had user-friendly schedules that lead to easy victories. Neither club wants a 1-3 start and while that is not insurmountable to make the playoffs, it is an uphill the last three quarters of the season.

ere is your Thursday night football breakdown from handicapper who is 8-2 this season here making week 4 NFL predictions.

 

Miami Covers If........
Let's be truthful, the Dolphins were lucky to beat Cleveland, needing OT to do so. Yet a win is a win in the NFL and Miami is happy to get that first one. Ryan Tannehill is at best an average NFL quarterback, but in new head coach Adam Gage's passing offense, it is about making a read or two and letting the pigskin go. Making reads is not Tannehill's strong suit, but he is improving and has to, with running game now by committee. With Cincinnati pass defense beatable, Tannehill must be on target.

Defensively, Miami has to do a better job of attacking the line of scrimmage, as the defensive linemen are not staying in lanes and linebackers are either not filling gaps or are too close to linemen and are getting blocked is the tow. Dolphins have to take away Bengals running game and double A.J. Green to force Dalton to look elsewhere.

 

Cincinnati Covers If.........
In the Bengals losses to Pittsburgh and Denver, too many turnovers (4) and penalties, seemingly always at the most inopportune time. Cincinnati will have to clean this up and the defense as a whole has to be a lot sharper. Case in point is nine touchdown passes permitted in just three games. There has been too much time for opposing quarterbacks to throw and the players in the secondary are not maintaining coverage.

Cincinnati did a good job running the ball in Denver and will need to establish Jeremy Hill against running at the Miami defense which is not known as exactly being tough-minded when the opposing team lines up and runs the ball. This is what the Bengals need to do, pound away at Dolphins with running game, which sets up play-action passing offense, which is QB Andy Dalton best skill.

 

Your Thursday Night Winner is?
The NFL betting odds at Heritage (now offering 50% Cash Bonus) have Cincinnati, sent out at -7. My initial reaction was the Bengals no problem. But after some digging found Miami is 13-4 ATS away after a no-cover game they won as favorite and the Dolphins are 27-13-2 ATS as non-division road underdogs. Make sure to take the +7, not less.

 

Free NFL Picks: Miami +7
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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