Three Against The Spread NFL Predictions That Will Cash Big On Sunday

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, September 8, 2016 8:00 PM UTC

Thursday, Sep. 8, 2016 8:00 PM UTC

Pro Football is back and Swinging Johnson is coming off a white hot 9-2-2 ATS mark in his preseason NFL picks. Let’s get the party started and start cashing right away!

Swinger's 2016 NFL Record 0-0-0 (0.00 units) 
My NFL football picks throughout the preseason were red hot but that was then and this is now. Professional handicapping is a 'what have you done for me lately' kind of business and nobody understands that better than I. Let's take a peek at what the NFL odds makers are dealing in Week 1 of the regular season and get out in front early. Without further ado, let's cash these bad boys!


Bucs vs. Falcons
We often have preconceived notions of what teams are all about. Actually, often is probably an understatement. We all have preconceived notions, and the sharps are no exception. But the difference between the wise guys and everyone else is that they are able to put these biases aside and evaluate a club week by week, without getting hung up on a team's history or its reputation. And I bring this up because the Tampa Bay Bucs have pretty much been perennial losers since their 2002 Super Bowl season.

The Bucs ended last season with a record of 6-10 and an ATS mark of 7-9. But if you watched them on a weekly basis you would know that their bad luck led to bad beats. Tampa Bay seemed to almost will themselves into a losing season. But things have a way of evening out and this season the Bucs have undoubtedly been forced to watch reams of tape where Tampa's top wideout Mike Evans was the recipient of the eighth most targets yet had the most drops in the league. That, my friends, will not happen again. His redemption starts this week against the suspect safeties of the Atlanta Falcons.

Between Evans and the 6'5 Vincent Jackson, you can expect the mobile Jameis Winston to unload whether he's in the pocket or rolling out. He will locate his targets and they will move the chains. Doug Martin should find his share of daylight against a pedestrian run stop Atlanta defense. The Falcons don't have a great offensive line and Matt Ryan is not as mobile nor, quite frankly, as good as he once was. Sure Julio Jones is a terrific receiver but one man alone does not a team make. Oh, and two of the Bucs six wins came at the expense of the Falcons in 2015.

Football Picks Week 1: Tampa Bay Bucs +2.5 (+100)
Best Line Offered: at Heritage


Chargers vs. Chiefs
The Chiefs embarrassed the Chargers in their own playground last year by the score of 33-3 and defeated them again 10-3 in Kansas City. But last year the Chargers were riddled with injuries, including running back Melvin Gordon. In their 30 point home loss to KC the Chargers had four of five starting linemen on the shelf for that contest. They are healthy this season and will have revenge on their minds against a Chiefs' team that comes into the opening week with a multitude of banged up players on both sides of the ball.

San Diego's blind side tackle, 6'9" 330 pound King Dunlap, was injured during both of the team's losses to Kansas City last season but he's all healed up and ready to go in the opener. That will spell relief for Phillip Rivers and allow him to target a healthy Keenan Allen and give Melvin Gordon, as well as the elusive Danny Woodhead, room to cut through the Chiefs' defensive front.

And one other thing. The Chiefs are far from an offensive juggernaut and under head coach Andy Reid KC is 5-6 ATS when favored by seven or more. When an NFL team is favored by more than the magic number 7, you can bet the opponent is of the woeful variety. San Diego is not such a team and KC does not possess a prolific offense. Grab the points with the road pup here.

Football Picks Week 1: Chargers +6 (+100) 
Best Line Offered: at Heritage


Vikings vs. Titans
This one is pretty simple. The Vikings have a ferocious defense and the Titans have a barely serviceable offensive line. Marcus Mariota may want to take early retirement after this one is done. It won't be pretty for Tennessee and the Vikings will be relentless once they smell blood.

Yes, I know Minnesota may struggle as well on offense without their savior-in-training Teddy Bridgewater but Adrian Peterson will take much of the heat off of either Shaun Hill or Sam Bradford, whomever gets the start for Minnesota. Both QB's have a lot more experience than your average backup and will be just fine managing a game against a Titans' defense that will be laser-locked on AP coming out of the backfield.

Though we're not fond of laying the lumber on the highway, we'll do it with pleasure when the time is here.

Football Picks Week 1: Vikings -2.5 (-105) 
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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