Three Bold NFL Picks for the Seattle Seahawks in 2015

Nikki Adams

Sunday, July 19, 2015 4:22 PM GMT

Sunday, Jul. 19, 2015 4:22 PM GMT

Across the board the Seattle Seahawks are one of the teams to beat in the NFL, if not THE team to beat. Here we push the envelope with some bold brash predictions for their 2015-2016 season.

Seattle Seahawks the Team To Beat?
A Super Bowl win in 2013 and an a runner-up finish in 2014 amounts to a favorable outlook in 2015-2016 for the Seattle Seahawks. On the strength of their last two seasons it's appropriate. But on the strength of their NFL schedule, which is the fourth toughest in the NFL, there are those NFL bettors that believe the Seahawks might be overrated a touch?

Odds makers roll out an 11 projected season win total, with the OVER trading at -125 and the UNDER at -105. They are the runaway favorites to win their division at -300 NFL odds, a good distance ahead of the Arizona Cardinals at whopping +650 NFL odds at Bet365. What's more, they are the +260 faves to win the NFC Conference, ahead of the Packers at +350 NFL odds and the odds-on-faves to win Super Bowl 50 at +450 NFL odds.

All this amounts to a lot of expectations. Granted they've carried the burden admirably since their Super Bowl 48 win over the Denver Broncos, but that's no reason to assume they'll continue to do so, is it?

What goes up, must come down inevitably.

The Seahawks may be sat lotus atop the NFL betting markets thanks to the magnificent efforts of the Legion of Boom, the one-man offensive show Marshawn Lynch and some solid quarterbacking by Russell Wilson over the last two seasons. This offseason, they've lost Max Unger (in the Jimmy Graham trade), their offensive line remains questionable (not exactly one that looks to light up the scoreboard in Patriots-Packers-Broncos-Eagles fashion) and they're yet to produce a legitimate outside receiving target (nobody from the Seahawks WR or TE ranked in the top 40 Receiving Yards Leaders). Well, Jimmy Graham is supposed to address that score, but he was 35th in the league with 889 yards and 10 touchdowns. What's more, the Saints are pass-happy. Seattle not so.

This brings us neatly to our bold prediction: the Seattle Seahawks take a step back in 2015.

Yup, that's right. You heard it here. What? Did you expect to read: Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 50? Bahh! How bold is that? When it's what everybody, from NFL fans to bookmakers and armchair critics, is spouting. To be bold is to exhibit daring and courage. And a bold prediction by definition is something that is beyond reasonable expectation but not so far gone to be unreasonable or impossible.

Is it really unreasonable to expect the Seahawks to take a step back? Look at what happened to the San Francisco 49ers. Perhaps, the Seahawks won't fall behind as far as the 49ers did. But even the slightest decline is considered a step back. So on this controversial vein, we serve up three NFL picks that go along with this notion.

 

1. UNDER 11 Season Win Total at -105
Since going to press, the odds makers have chalked the line at 11 wins for the season. While the last five seasons produce an average of 10 wins, the last three years have seen the Seahawks average 12 wins (12, 13 and 11). This year, the NFC West figures to be much tougher than it was in the past three seasons with the Cardinals improving and the Rams making some interesting changes as well. Six games on the season are against these rivals and it's hard to see the Seahawks dominating the division as they've done previously. What's more, with a fourth toughest schedule in the league that features tough games in the first few weeks, including back-to-back road openers in St. Louis and Green Bay and dates with Detroit, Cincinnati, San Francisco and Dallas, the Seahawks will be under the cosh right off the bat. As such, we're predicting they go UNDER 11 season wins at -105 NFL odds.

 

2. Seattle Seahawks Don't Win The Division
Arizona Cardinals very nearly won the NFC West division behind their strongest start to the season in recent memory, only for Seattle Seahawks to gather momentum down the stretch, when the Cardinals were so crippled by injury that they couldn't respond in kind. Seattle Seahawks may be the bookies faves to win the division at -300, but we're giving them a pass. The better NFL pick here is to take a chance on Arizona Cardinals to win the division at +650 NFL odds.

 

3. Seattle Seahawks Don't Make The Playoffs?
It does happen that a team with a positive record, even a double-digit record doesn't make the playoffs. Case-and-point: Philadelphia Eagles 10-6 SU, San Diego Chargers 9-7 SU, Kansas City Chiefs 9-7 SU, Buffalo Bills 9-7 SU and Houston Texans 9-7 SU all missed the NFL playoffs. Imagine the Seahawks finish second behind the Arizona Cardinals in the NFC West division, but fail to clinch a playoff spot due to all the various scenarios that can potentially emerge by season end. Come on, it's possible. Might we add a temptingly bold, brash and brazen NFL pick at +450 for Seattle Seahawks to NOT make the playoffs.

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