Following a pair of upsets in the Wild Card Round and some wild finishes in the Divisional Round, the matchups have been determined for this Sunday’s NFL conference championship games in the AFC and NFC. This week’s betting edge takes a closer look at where the best value lies in the posted Super Bowl LII futures at SBR Odds.
Super Bowl LII- Winning Team
When you have a team that has been to the last six conference title games resulting in a pair of Super Bowl victories, it is safe to assume that it will be favored rather heavily over the other three teams left on the list to win Super Bowl LII when it comes to the recently updated betting odds.
The New England Patriots cruised to a 35-14 victory against Tennessee as heavy 13.5-point home favorites in the Divisional Round of the playoffs and they have been opened as healthy 9.5-point favorites at home against Jacksonville to make their fourth trip to the Super Bowl over the past seven seasons. New England’s odds to win back-to-back titles for the first time since the 2004 season have been set at +110.
The Patriots head into Sunday’s game with a straight-up 12-1 record in their last 13 games and a head of steam that adds quite a bit of value to their odds to win it all given the plus money on the current betting line. Minnesota is set as a +175 second-favorite followed by Philadelphia at +700 betting odds and Jacksonville at +800 for our late season futures NFL picks.
The odds suggest that the Vikings are the only other team with a legitimate shot at taking down the reigning champs, but there is a solid reason to believe that they are highly overvalued. It took a miracle to get past New Orleans the Divisional Round after blowing a 17-point lead and quite a few weaknesses were exposed in that second half against the Saints.
Further down the list, Philadelphia has been written off given the loss of MVP candidate Carson Wentz at quarterback and the large betting spread for Sunday’s AFC title game points to the clock finally striking midnight for the overachieving Jaguars.
Super Bowl LII- Actual Results
The betting odds for the actual result of Super Bowl LII favor New England beating Minnesota at +242. The odds that Minnesota goes on to win its first Super Bowl in franchise history in its own backyard at US Bank Stadium on Sunday, Feb. 4 are set at +333.
Moving down the list, the betting odds that New England beats Philadelphia for the second time in Super Bowl history following a 24-21 win back in Super Bowl XXXIX in 2005 are set at +340. Betting $100 on the Eagles beating the Patriots in Super Bowl LII would return +859.
The odds really start to expand if Jacksonville finds a way to pull off a huge upset in New England in the AFC title game. You can get +902 odds for a Vikings’ victory against the Jaguars and those odds jump to +1694 for a Jacksonville victory against Minnesota in Super Bowl LII.
The Jaguars’ betting odds to beat Philadelphia in this year’s Super Bowl are set at + 1622 and the longest odds on the board at +2378 have the Eagles winning it all with a victory against Jacksonville.
There is some solid value in the +242 odds going chalk that New England does go on to beat Minnesota to lay claim to yet another world title, but there is also some value in hedging these Super Bowl futures by going with a small play on a completely unexpected outcome. The Eagles and the Jaguars have gotten to this point with upsets as underdogs so why not take a flyer that they continue their runs with another upset victory this Sunday. I would stay with Philly as a likely underdog in that matchup against Jacksonville to try and walk away with the biggest return on the board right now +2378.