Texans vs. Colts - Battle For An AFC South Top Spot

Indianapolis Colts team in action

Nikki Adams

Thursday, December 8, 2016 4:46 PM GMT

Thursday, Dec. 8, 2016 4:46 PM GMT

With top spot in the AFC South on the line, the clash between the Texans and Colts looms large. Here’s a mini-betting preview complete with NFL picks.

 Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

 

Point Spread Value

The Colts are 6-6-0 SU and 6-5-1 ATS with a 0.0 winning margin and +1.9 differential versus the spread. Last week’s v41-10 victory over the Jets did a lot to improve these stats and restore some confidence in the Colts. The Texans, meanwhile, are 6-6-0 SU but 5-6-1 ATS with a -4.2 losing margin and-2.5 differential versus the spread. Taking out the game in Mexico City (neutral ground) the Texans are just 1-4 SU and ATS on their travels with a whopping -13.6 losing margin and -8.8 differential versus the spread. Most alarming in those four losses on the road the Texans offense (ahem Brock Osweiler) is averaging a measly 8.75 points per game. Yikes. 



Free NFL Pick: Colts -4.5 (-107)Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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The Survivor

The Colts are coming off an impressive 41-10 win over the NY Jets in MNF. OK. So beating the Jets isn’t a total WOW. Who hasn’t beaten the Jets, right? What is important is the fact that the Colts improve to 6-6-0 on the season and tie the Texans at the top of the AFC South. Setting up a critical decider this Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium. Home advantage has been a hit-and-miss for the Colts, who are just 3-3-0 SU at home. Road form though has been a conundrum where the Texans are concerned. They are just 1-5 SU on their travels (this includes the game in Mexico City). Hard to bet on a team that simply doesn’t get it together on the road. Hence, the Colts seem to be the sensible week 14 NFL pick SU.

 

Free NFL Pick: Colts -255Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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The Survivor

Consider the Texans are a no-show on their travels, particularly offensively, there’s a case to be had for a low-scoring affair. However, the Colts can really light it up as evinced last Monday when they accounted for the bulk of the 48.5 closing total trading at the NFL betting exchange. If the Colts continue on that form, it wouldn’t be surprising to see this game crack the total as well. Colts are 8-4-0 in O/U betting.

 

Free NFL Pick: Over 47 (-110)Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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