Tennessee Titans vs. Cleveland Browns Free NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Friday, September 18, 2015 7:48 PM GMT

Marcus Mariota had what will go down as one of the best rookie debuts in NFL history, but will he keep it up in week 2? Read this Titans-Browns preview to find the answers & our free NFL pick.

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open: -2.5 -105 at Pinnacle
The NFL odds for this game took a huge swing as the Browns were favored at -2.5 when it opened, but it has gone to -1 for the Titans on the road now. Cleveland got the edge because they're at home against a team with a rookie quarterback, but now the Browns have injury problems under center and on defense, and quite frankly, they don't have the depth to replace what they're losing. All of this leads to a surprising edge for the Titans, who aren't that great either, but they're probably better on Cleveland on paper.

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Injuries
Jason McCourty had groin surgery in the offseason and the cornerback is still a couple weeks away from playing, at the very least. Tight end Delanie Walker is battling a wrist issue that caused him to miss practice on Thursday, and he could be a gametime decision for the Titans, but things could be a lot worse for Tennessee; they could be Cleveland. Sitting Mariota for the fourth quarter of their blowout of the Bucs was a great decision.

Where to start for the Browns? Josh McCown was knocked out of the Jets' game with a concussion, while Johnny Manziel has elbow issues. However, McCown has been ruled out and Manziel will start. Dwayne Bowe is questionable with a hamstring problem, while cornerback Justin Gilbert not only has a hip issue, but legal problems as well, and linebacker Barkevious Mingo is questionable with a knee injury. Those are the most important injuries on a list that is long for Week 2, but they have to figure who is starting under center; if McCown is healthy, he'll probably start, but don't be surprised to see Manziel at some point.

 

Trends
The Titans have won just one of their last 11 SU overall, and they've covered in just one of their seven games. On the road, Tennessee is 1-7 SU and 1-4 ATS in their last five, but they have a legitimate shot to go 2-0 away from home and that would be impressive. The Browns have lost their last six SU overall, but they have covered in three of them. Cleveland is also 4-6 SU and ATS at home in their last 10.

Tennessee is 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five meetings with the Browns in Cleveland, and overall in their last 10 meetings, the Titans are 6-4 SU and 5-4-1 ATS.

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