Team Props Worth a Look this Weekend: NFL Playoff Picks

Jordan Sharp

Saturday, January 17, 2015 5:45 PM GMT

Saturday, Jan. 17, 2015 5:45 PM GMT

It’s down to the final four in the NFL playoffs, and after this weekend we will finally know the Super Bowl contestants. With only two games, we have to look for NFL Odds value everywhere, and that includes these valuable team prop NFL Picks from bet365 sportsbook. 

Packers O/U 17.5 points
If the sportsbooks love one thing in the entire NFL, it’s the Seahawks defense. However they love Aaron Rodgers almost just as much, so this must be a tough game for the books. This means there could be some NFL odds value, and I have found one very good example at bet365. There is very little reason for the Packers’ team total to be this low, and after a season where they scored fewer than 20 points only three times, I doubt they are going to do that here. While the Seahawks were one of the teams that held them down earlier this season, and even though Rodgers is banged up and not moving as well, all the Packers need to do it get two touchdowns and two field goals here. If they have success running the ball, it might open it up even more for the Packers. It won’t be easy by any means, but even if they lose I think their team total is going over regardless.

NFL Pick: Packers OVER 17.5 points (-110)

 

Colts vs. Patriots O/U 6.5 TDs
While I expect the NFC Title game to be a bit higher scoring than the sportsbooks suggest, the AFC title game might be a little lower scoring. Both the Colts and Patriots are playing solid defense right now, and even though the Ravens played the Pats tough last week, the Ravens always play the Patriots well. Andrew Luck on the other hand might struggle some here. While the chalk is very high with the under, I think it’s the way to go with this touchdown total.

I expect the Patriots to try and run the ball a lot like they did in their Week 11 matchup with the Colts, which will limit the time of possession for the Colts. While Indianapolis will likely try and run the ball some too with newly found Dan Herron, it might not be enough against a stout Patriots run defense. Three touchdowns for the two teams and no more seems like a very likely possibility if they are both running the ball a lot.

NFL Pick: UNDER 6.5 TDs (-150)

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Packers vs. Seahawks O/U 55.5 rush attempts
Speaking of rushing the ball a ton, it’s my next NFL Odds prop for Championship weekend. We all know the Seahawks are going to run the ball in this game. They ran the ball more than any other NFC team this past season, and the Packers weren’t far behind, just outside the top 10 in rushing yards. Green Bay ran the ball 29 times last week, and against a team that might run the ball even more than that, this is a great play for the over here.

The Seahawks will want to keep the ball out of Aaron Rodgers hands, while the Packers will want a way to keep the incredible Seattle secondary in check. The only way they might be able to do that is to run the ball effectively. The battle in the trenches will be a good one on both sides, but in the end I see more than 55 rush attempts in this game.

NFL Pick: OVER 55.5 rush attempts (-125)

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