After a slow start to the season, I am cruising with my team and player props this season. I am back once again with three more NFL odds from bet365, and I think all of them hold some value for your Week 3 NFL picks.
Buffalo Bills – O/U 19.5 points
Despite their great performances in Weeks 1 and 2, the Bills are once again getting no love from bettors or the sportsbooks. However, I am changing that this week with a play on their team total of just less than 20 points. The Bills proved to everyone they can score on offense with Tyrod Taylor last week against the Patriots, and now against a similarly beatable defense in Miami, the Bills should have no issues putting up points against the Dolphins in the warm weather. The Dolphins defense gave up 23 points to the Jaguars last week, and the Bills certainly have a better offense than Jacksonville. Percy Harvin looks good to go this week after struggling with another hip issue, and with their lead back in LeSean McCoy looking like a go as well, I see no way the Bills don’t get above the 19-point mark this week against the Dolphins.
NFL Pick: Bills OVER 19.5 points (-120) at bet365
49ers vs. Cardinals – Race to the points
So far this season I’ve been moderately successful in betting nether team to get to 30 points, and once again bet365 has given me a nice window to cash it once again. The Arizona Cardinals and San Francisco 49ers both have above average defenses, and in this game in Arizona, the 49ers might struggle to score the ball some. However, the Cardinals might get a nice fight from the Niners as well. In their last eight meetings with one another, only once has one of these teams made it to 30 points, and that game was in San Francisco a couple years ago when the Niners’ offense was much more formidable. On the flip side, in their last five games against one another in Arizona, the Cardinals have never scored more than 23 points. Granted the Cards’ offense is a little better this season, but I see a defensive game in this one between these two divisional foes. Look for neither team to get to 30 points, and look for the NFL odds of +105 from bet365 to be one of the more valuable team props for our NFL picks this weekend. With a game total of only 44, this one is a great Week 3 play.
NFL Pick: Neither team to 30 points (+105)
Jaguars vs. Patriots – O/U 5.5 TDs
I’ve already given a pick on the over for this game, but that just means the touchdown total holds some value for the over as well. With Tom Brady and the Patriots going on their scorched earth policy after the deflate-gate scandal this offseason, I could see the Patriots putting up four or five touchdowns by themselves in this one at home against the Jags. On the other side, the Patriots defense has been a shell of their Super Bowl champion team, and with the Jaguars slowly but steadily improving on the offensive end, I could see them putting up two or three TDs of their own. Just go back and look at what the Pats did to the rest of the league after spy-gate, and you’ll know what I’m talking about. Rob Gronkowski is this year’s Randy Moss, and even if they are up big, I expect the Patriots to keep throwing the ball like they did last week.
NFL Pick: OVER 5.5 TDs (-110)