It’s already Week 12 of the NFL season and teams are making their push towards the playoffs. With that in mind, there are some valuable team props from bet365 this week, and I have found three that I am adding to my NFL picks this week.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers O/U 21.5 Points
At times this season Jameis Winston has looked questionable, however, at times like last week he looks like one of the 10 or 12 best quarterbacks in the NFL. If last week was a sign of things to come, I am ready to buy low on the Bucs and Winston’s future, and it could start this week against a Colts team that looks like their future is in trouble. With Andrew Luck hurt and a bad team surrounding the backup, Matt Hasselbeck, I could easily see the Bucs surprising people this week and either beating or covering against the Colts. Winston will play a big part in it, and against a Colts defense giving up 25 points per game, I am betting on the Bucs to have the better day offensively. Almost all of the Bucs’ big offensive days this season have come on the road, including last week’s 28-point domination of the Eagles. Let’s see if Winston can string together two straight games of solid play, and if he does this team total is going over. While I doubt he goes for five touchdowns, three and change is all we need this week.
NFL Picks: OVER 21.5 (-110) at bet365
Bills vs. Chiefs O/U 4.5 Touchdowns
The Chiefs have suddenly found their defense in the second half of the season, and in their last four games the Chiefs have given up an average less than 10 points per game, and in those four games they have allowed only four total touchdowns to their four opponents, and only one of them was in the first three quarters, and none of them were in the first half. If the Chiefs’ defense is truly back to the upper echelon unit we are used to, the Bills are going to have a hard time scoring touchdowns this week. As we get deeper into the season, defenses are all catching up to offenses, and even on the other side, the Bills’ defense should put up enough of a fight this week for the under to cash. The total for this game is set at only 41 ½ points, so add the under to your NFL Picks this week.
NFL Picks: UNDER 4.5 TDs (-120)
Giants vs. Redskins - Race To 10 Points
This NFC East battle will go a long way in deciding the winner of the division, as the Giants currently lead with the Skins biting at their heels. This week however, the Giants have the chance to put some distance between them and the rest of the division, especially after the Cowboys and the Eagles got blown out on Thanksgiving Day. With that being said, the chalk on the Giants to get to ten points first this week is only at -137 NFL odds at bet365, which is not enough for me to be swayed. The Giants’ offense has been running a lot better under the second season of Ben McAdoo, and against the below average Redskins defense, I could easily see the Giants getting to 10 points first. Ignore the chalk and take the Giants with your NFL picks.
NFL Picks: Giants (-137)