While my favorite prop plays of the week are almost always player wagers, team props are a nice way to switch up your NFL Picks. Week 7 brings on some great matchups on Sunday afternoon, and I have found three prop plays that have very valuable NFL Odds.
Vikings vs. Bills Race to 25 points
The Vikings and Bills have the lowest NFL Odds total of any game this week at 43 points. That’s why I was really surprised to see the race to the points in this game from bet365 is a crazy value. If neither team gets to 25 points, you could have a +110 cash in your pocket, and with the way that both of these defenses are playing, it’s extremely possible. The Bills’ offense can’t really get fully going under Kyle Orton, and even though he hasn’t been bad, I doubt he can lead the Bills to more than 24 points. On the other side, Teddy Bridgewater is coming back for this week, however you have to think the Vikings are going to want to run the ball a lot in this game to limit Bridgewater’s snaps where he has to throw the ball downfield. I see this being a low scoring game, ad for neither team to get above 24 points.
NFL Pick: Neither team to 25 points (+110)
Cardinals to Win Both Halves
Arizona has their quarterback, Carson Palmer back in action, and it has done great things for their offense. This week they get a chance to head into Oakland to play the Raiders, and surprisingly, the NFL Odds only have the Cards as -3 ½ favorites. Even though this could be a close game, I see the Cardinals winning both halves. This could net an NFL Odds cash of +200, which is insane value considering who the Cards are playing. The Raiders’ offense doesn’t look bad with Derek Carr under center, but they are going to have some issues moving the ball against the Cards. Sure, the Cardinals’ defense has been horrible at stopping the pass, but they are too talented in that area to now slow down the Raiders enough to be ahead at the half, and at the end of the game.
NFL Pick: Cardinals (+200)
Redskins Team Total O/U 26.5
The Redskins have been far from a playoff contender this season, and unfortunately they were my pick to win the division. Ok, so maybe I was a bit off on that one, but that doesn’t mean we can’t make money on the Skins being either under or overvalued. This week it seems like the NFL Odds may be overvaluing them. They are at home against the Titans, and the sportsbooks have them as -6 favorites, with a total of 45 ½. Even though they may be overvalued in the spread, you can’t trust the Titans to cover, however you might be able to trust their defense.
The Redskins’ team total right now from bet365 is sitting at 26 ½ points, which is very high for Washington. The Skins haven’t scored more than 20 points in their last three games, and so far at home they are playing pretty badly. The only win they have this season at home is against the Jaguars. With little run game, and with a pretty shaky defense, I doubt the Skins will be on the field long enough to score 27 or more points here. Take the under, because the value of -110 makes this a great play for your NFL Picks.
NFL Pick: Redskins UNDER 26.5 (-110)