Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons Week 8 Free NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Sunday, November 1, 2015 12:53 PM GMT

Sunday, Nov. 1, 2015 12:53 PM GMT

The NFC South is the focus of a matchup in Atlanta, where the 6-1 Falcons wait after a low-scoring win at Tennessee. Tampa Bay comes to town with a 2-4 record after a close loss in Washington.

Opening Odds & Line Movement

Open: -7.5 +106 at Pinnacle
The NFL odds for this game opened up as the Falcons coming in as 7.5-point favorites, and it hasn't moved yet. The Falcons were always going to be favored by more than a touchdown in this game, especially at home, and you might be surprised that it isn't a little higher (which it might be by kickoff). However, the Bucs are 13th in points scored and if they can avoid giving the ball away, they have a chance.

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Injuries
The Buccaneers should be happy that Mike Evans is back and close to 100%, as they have other problems at WR. Louis Murphy is out for the season after knee surgery, while Vincent Jackson is questionable with his own knee problems. TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins missed last week with a shoulder injury and there is no word on his status, which doesn't leave Winston for many passing options outside of Evans. It might be a big game for RB Doug Martin.

For the Falcons, S William Moore aggravated a groin injury and is unlikely to play, while WR Leonard Hankerson didn't practice on Wednesday because of his hamstring.

 

Trends
Tampa Bay has managed to cover half of their six games so far this season, and they're a surprising 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. Meanwhile, the Falcons have covered in six of their last seven games, but in just two of their last five at home. The total for this game opened up at 49 and has dropped to 48.5, and the Falcons have gone under in seven of their last 10 games, while the Bucs have gone over in four of their last six.

The Falcons are 7-3 SU and 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings with Tampa Bay, who are are 3-7 SU in their last 10 trips to Atlanta, but they've covered six times.

***Follow the link to get all of the Week 8 NFL picks!***

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