Take the Points & Back Buccaneers vs. Steelers with NFL Pick

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, September 23, 2014 5:21 PM GMT

The Buccaneers have gotten off to a rough start, and the road gets no easier in Pittsburgh this weekend. We know who the NFL odds will favor in Week 4, but let's see if we can locate the best route to take with our sports picks.

A big variation in NFL odds here, as some books have the Steelers favored by nine points and other have the spread as low as seven. There's certainly value to be had.

The O/U is at 44.5 at 5Dimes right now, with 44 also there for the taking at certain sites. The 'over' is 2-1 in Pittsburgh's games so far, but is 1-2 in matchups featuring Tampa Bay early on this season.

Pittsburgh Steelers in 2014-15 Regular Season: 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS, +0.3 margin of victory

Injury Watch: Ike Taylor (out), Ryan Shazier (doubtful), Dri Archer (questionable)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2014-15 Regular Season: 0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS, -16.7 margin of victory

Injury Watch: Josh McCown (doubtful), Doug Martin (questionable), Vincent Jackson (questionable), Gerald McCoy (questionable), Mason Foster (questionable).

The Steelers showed Carolina a thing or two on Sunday Night Football, winning 37-19 as the NFL betting underdogs.

Ben Roethlisberger had 196 yards and two touchdown passes, while both Le'Veon Bell (147 rushing yards) and LeGarrette Blount (118 yards) went over 100 rushing yards while combining for one touchdown. Antonio Brown had 10 receptions for 90 yards and two scores in a terrific offensive display overall from Pittsburgh.

Can Roethlisberger and company carry that over into Week 4 against Tampa Bay?

The Buccaneers were humiliated in a big way last Thursday, losing 56-14 to the Falcons. After at least staying competitive in Weeks 1 and 2, they completely fell apart against Atlanta.

Josh McCown was 5-of-12 for 58 yards and an interception before getting hurt, with Mike Glennon coming in and completing 17-of-24 passes for 121 yards and a touchdown to Vincent Jackson. Bobby Rainey ran 11 times for 41 yards in place of the injured Doug Martin.

As you can see above, the Buccaneers have a lot of injury worries this week. The stage is set for Glennon to take over as the starter, so it'll be interesting to see if he can turn things around for this struggling Tampa Bay team. Coach Lovie Smith has come out and said that McCown would start if healthy, so it's a situation worth monitoring, but we do expect Glennon will be under center come Sunday.

Injuries to Martin, Jackson and McCoy are also worrying and worth tracking throughout the week. Should Martin miss out again, Rainey would continue to man most of the touches out of the backfield, while Mike Evans would see even more targets if Jackson can't go.

 

Suarez Says:
As good as the Steelers looked last week, we can't shake this feeling that they'll fall back down to earth a little bit this weekend.

Oddsmakers may have overvalued Pittsburgh in this spot. The Steelers sure did play well in Carolina, but we weren't all that impressed with their performances in the first two weeks. They barely escaped with a win over Cleveland at home, and then got crushed in Baltimore in Week 2.

We think the likely shift to Glennon at quarterback could be a needed jolt for the Buccaneers. Therefore, with a spread of nine out there, we're going to recommend readers grab that line and back Tampa Bay as their Week 4 NFL picks and cover as large underdogs.

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