Swinging Johnson decimated the books last week by going 3-0 and racked up +7.00 units in the process. Can he do it all over again with his NFL Picks for Week 3? Let’s find out!
What a Week!
Swinger’s 2020 NFL Record: 4-2 ATS (+4.70 units)
There’s a fine line between genius and jackass, which is a tightrope I walk each and every week when it comes to my picks. And while I stumbled out of the gate in the opening week of the season with a 1-2 ATS record, it was a breath of fresh air to watch all my predictions manifest last week. As I scorched the best betting sites, courtesy of a 3-0 Week 2 ATS record, and +7.00 units to the good with plays on the underdog Giants (2 units), Cardinals (2 units), and Packers (3 units).
Just like it’s imperative to shake off a losing week, it’s equally critical to dismiss the tendency to bask in the afterglow of a bully beatdown of your bookmakers. For those who are new to Swinger’s Picks, I use a 1 to a 5-unit system where five-unit plays come around about as often as a supermodel at a Taco Bell. So, without further ado, let’s keep cashing and making our bookies weep!
Washington Football Team vs. Cleveland Browns
Sunday, September 27, 2020 – 1:00 PM ET at FirstEnergy Stadium
Let’s face it, it’s hard to bet the Browns. Whether they’re an underdog or a favorite, Cleveland is just a team that is either flat out lousy or seems to be on the cusp of mediocrity, only to make fools out of the bright-eyed believers. That’s why I am limiting my units on them because as good as this matchup looks on paper for Cleveland…they’re still the Browns.
Well, I see their game this week with the Washington No Names as an opportunity to not only win but win big. The Browns will have had 10 days to prepare after their 35-30 win over the Bengals last Thursday, so they will be well-rested and plenty prepared.
I ask you how will Washington contain Myles Garret with no competent offensive linemen to take him on a one-on-one, especially now that their three-time Pro Bowl guard, Brandon Scherff, is on the shelf? And what if the Browns’ defense sees the return of defensive backs Greedy Williams and Kevin Johnson, as well as linebacker Mack Wilson? Washington coach Ron Rivera will have to throw up a smoke signal to signal for help…was that a bit inappropriate?
I’m just not sure how Washington keeps pace with Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt, OBJ, and tight end Austin Hooper. I can’t see that they do which is why I am laying the touchdown with the Cleveland Browns (yes, the Apocalypse is upon us) on Sunday afternoon!
San Francisco 49ers vs. New York Giants
Sunday, September 27, 2020 - 1:00 PM ET at MetLife Stadium
The injury bug bit and it bit hard last week on the 49ers. Sweet Jimmy G will not be slingin’ for the Niners this week. Thus, the future first-ballot Hall of Famer, Nick Mullens, will be under center for San Francisco, harkening back to the days of Joe Montana. Running backs Raheem Mostert and Tevin Coleman will both likely miss this matchup, as could tight end extraordinaire, George Kittle, which leaves the Niners’ offense largely depleted.
But now consider the devastating injuries that wreaked havoc on the San Francisco defense; Nick Bosa, Dee Ford, Richard Sherman, and Solomon Thomas. Are you kidding me?
Yes, the Giants lost Saquon Barkley and as good as he is, I’ll take that trade if I’m the Giants. Just because you have players dressing in San Francisco uniforms doesn’t mean they will play like last season’s Super Bowl runner-up. Big Blue is at home and the NFL odds over at Bovada are giving us a four-point head start if we want to back the home pup which is more than enough for me!
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, September 27, 2020 - 1:00 PM ET at Lincoln Financial Field
The Eagles were overrated to begin the season and now they have been exposed after only two games. After dropping a 27-17 decision to Washington they decided to duplicate their ineptitude the following week with a 37-19 pasting at the hands of the Rams.
Look, the Bengals are not world-beaters by any stretch but their offense has the makings of something good with Joe Burrow pulling the trigger. I can’t see the Eagles defense putting enough heat on last year’s Heisman Trophy winner to disrupt him into oblivion. That should allow plenty of connections to his receiving corps, and allow Cincinnati to at least keep it close, if not win this one outright.
Carolina Panthers vs. LA Chargers
Sunday, September 27, 2020 - 4:25 PM ET at SoFi Stadium
What did you think of the kid, Justin Herbert? Pretty good, right? The Bolts first-round selection in April’s draft had a few miscues, but overall, the numbers speak for themselves, with 311 passing yards as well as a passing and rushing touchdown en route to a 23-20 overtime loss to the Chiefs. The Chargers have something with Herbert, and he will start again this week when they take on the hapless Carolina Panthers.
But the reason the Bolts are so attractive here is the matchup between their suffocating defense and Mr. Game Manager himself, Teddy Bridgewater. Patrick Mahomes and the KC juggernaut were stymied throughout by this LA defense last week, and if that is the case, how are the Panthers supposed to keep pace? They’re not, which is why this is my Square Play of the Week but also my largest one.
The Woodman’s Corner (1-1, -0.10 units)
Last week, the Woodman went back to the Patriot well that saw him cash in Week 1, but it proved to be poison against the Seahawks in Seattle. Had New England’s Cam Newton made it into the end zone with time expiring, the Woodman would be looking like a genius, but alas, he didn’t, and now he’s a jackass. Tough audience Woodman.
But fear not, he’s been hibernating all week and watching game tapes of every offensive line in the league. He has come out of his hovel, a bit disheveled – much like his hero Bill Belichick – but with a side in mind that he is sure will be your ticket to financial freedom. How can you go wrong with America’s Team – the Dallas Cowboys +5 on the road in Seattle at Bovada!
Woodman's Pick: Dallas Cowboys +5 at Bovada