Swinger’s Divisional Round NFL Picks

 Packers player Aaron Rodgers in field

Thursday, January 12, 2017 8:58 PM GMT

Swinger went 1-1 ATS in last week’s Wild Card weekend but this week he has four NFL picks poised to deliver a beating to your bookmaker. Let’s check it out!

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Swinger's Overall 2016 NFL Record: 33-32-1 ATS

The absence of a big-time quarterback is devastating to any team’s chances of covering the NFL odds, let alone winning the game. It’s not breaking news by any stretch but I was convinced that Connor Cook could at least keep pace with an anemic Texans’ offense led by the woeful Brock Osweiler. Though Osweiler did not rekindle images of gunslinger Dan Pastorini back in the day when Houston’s NFL entry was named the Oilers, he did enough to lead his team to a 27-14 victory over the hapless Oakland Raiders. That was a money burner to be sure.

However, we did bounce back with the Green Bay Packers in our NFL picks the following day as the Pack put a 38-13 thrashing on the Giants. All in all, it was emblematic of the win one, lose one season we have been experiencing. Just enough to keep us in the game without losing much more than the vig. It could be worse but it should so much better. Let’s get healthy right now.

 

Seahawks vs. Falcons

The Falcons have had two weeks to rest in order to prepare for the Seattle Seahawks and get home field advantage to boot. However, the Georgia Dome has not been kind to the Dirty Birds as the team has gone 15-16 straight up and an underwhelming 13-18 ATS over the past three seasons and 3-5 ATS this year. Matt Ryan is having a sensational season and will need to maintain his elite passing skills in this one because the Seahawks will not allow the Falcons’ tailbacks any room to roam. They suffocated the Lions rushing attack last week holding Detroit to a paltry 49 yards on the ground.

Seattle’s Thomas Rawls is back and he killed it last week, trampling the Lions for a total of 161 rushing yards and a trip into the endzone. I expect him to have another terrific outing as the Falcons are ranked 17th against the run (versus 20th for last week’s opponent Detroit). Russell Wilson will also have time to move and groove as Atlanta owned the 28th ranked passing defense, allowing an average of 267 yards per game. I understand the Falcons’ aerial attack has bettors concerned but Seattle’s defense will be up to the task coupled with an offense that will do damage against Atlanta’s less than stellar defense.

Free NFL Pick: Seattle +5 Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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 Steelers vs. Chiefs

The Steelers blasted the Chiefs 43-14 in Pittsburgh last October but much can happen between the middle of the season and the playoffs. However, Pittsburgh is now firing on all cylinders offensively and squished the Fish last week 30-12. Meanwhile, the Chiefs rested after reeling off five of six wins to wrap the season and secure a first-round bye.

The Steelers put Miami’s star rusher Jay Ajayi on lockdown last week and will do the same against a Chiefs team that likes to chew up the clock as they march slowly down the field. The problem is that Pittsburgh is a quick-strike team and KC is not equipped to play catch up. Kansas City is a mere 13-18 ATS at home under head coach Andy Reid.

Free NFL Pick: Steelers +1 ½ Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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 Packers vs. Cowboys

The Cowboys have had the benefit of a first-round bye but now they must face one of the most potent offenses in football with a quarterback that has clearly found his mojo in Aaron Rodgers. Let’s face, the Packers have been here before and are a veteran group while the Cowboys’ offensive leaders are comprised of a pair of uber talented rookies in Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott. I will take experience any day of the week and twice on – not so coincidentally – Sunday.

While it’s true Jordy Nelson, Rodgers’ primary target, may be banged up after sustaining a rib injury last week, the veteran Packers’ QB still has a healthy Randall Cobb and Davante Adams to distribute the ball. The Boyz are not known for a tough-to-beat secondary and they manage little pressure down in the trenches. Rodgers should have a field day.

Dallas is dangerous offensively with the season-long mantra being they own the best offensive line in the business. But you must consider their blindside tackle Tyron Smith suffered a knee injury against the Lions in Week 16. Yes, that was a few weeks ago but we can be certain Smith is not at 100 percent. Aaron Rodgers will be shooting it out with Dak Prescott and both will put oodles of points on the board against passing defenses that ranked 26th (Dallas) and 31st (Green Bay). But I will side with a future Hall-of-Fame gunslinger over a rookie sensation in this one.

Free NFL Pick: Over 52 & Packers +4 ½ ( 5Dimes) Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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The Woodman's Corner (9-9 ATS)

The Woodman tanked last week with the underdog Dolphins as they were dismantled by the boys from the Steel City. At 9-9 ATS the Woodman is having an uncharacteristically pedestrian season but then again he’s got company so who am I to judge?

This week he is back in the saddle with the Green Bay Packers as underdogs to the Dallas Cowboys who boast a pair of rookie sensations in Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott. I can’t say I blame him as Aaron Rodgers has been en fuego and should get the job done in the Lone Star State.

Free NFL Pick: Packers +4 ½ Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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